 "A tale of two exit polls that were polls apart")
Bihar has voted and the results are awaited. Between the last phase of polling completed on Thursday and the declaration of election results on Sunday, 8th November, is the time for exit polls to be discussed threadbare across drawing rooms, in meetings and also on social media.
Most exit polls have predicted a close fight between the two formations contesting these polls but two exit polls have attracted more attention than the others and both point to contrasting results in this keenly watched contest. These are by Today's Chanakya and by Axis.
Most exit polls have predicted a close fight between the two formations contesting these polls but two exit polls have attracted more attention than the others and both point to contrasting results in this keenly watched contest. These are by Today's Chanakya and by Axis.
Today's Chanakya has predicted that the NDA will win 155 seats in the 243 seat assmebly. It has predicted 83 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance) of the JD(U), RJD and the Congress with Nitish Kumar as its chief ministerial candidate.
The agency said in its report, Bihar election is not about only Bihar as it's a state election whose results will bring a national impact on the political environment in our country. After a decisive and huge loss in Delhi, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Amit Shah have put their best in order to regain the winning momentum.
Along with their NDA alliance partners, BJP is leaving no stone unturned to get victory in this crucial state election which is witnessing a united opposition for the first time. On the other hand Congress have aligned up with RJD and JD(U). The grand alliance is hopeful of winning the elections. The alliance is strongly backing on the good image & hard work done by CM Nitish Kumar, it added.
The other exit poll being talked about is by Axis Poll. Social media was abuzz last evening when a much publicised poll was not broadcast by CNN-IBN. There was speculation that the poll showed a landslide victory for one of the party formations. Today, Axis Poll released the poll on its website. The poll is almost the exact opposite of what Today's Chanakya has predicted. It has given 58-70 seats to NDA with a 36 per cent vote share while the Grand Alliance gets 169-183 seats with a 48 per cent vote share and 3-7 seats for others.
The two polls present an interesting contrast. 8 November will tell us whether one of these will hit the mark or whether both will be proven wrong.
