FIFA Wold Cup 2018: Germany most likely to win, predicts UBS

To zero in on the winner, UBS uses econometric tools, usually applied to assess investment opportunities

With barely a month remaining for the FIFA World Cup to begin in Russia, a recent study by UBS attaches a 60 per cent likelihood that the winner will be one among Germany, Brazil and Russia. Germany, it predicts, has the highest probability – 24 per cent – to lift the winner’s trophy as compared to the other participating nations. 

“Simulations indicate no country has higher odds of winning the tournament than Germany, leading the table with a likelihood of 24 per cent. Brazil and Spain also stand a good chance of lifting the trophy, with chances of 19.8 and