IndusInd has growth potential, given the looming merger of Bharat Financial, an expected 25-30 per cent rise in loan book owing to recovery in automobile industry, and the scope to grab a share of corporate lending as public sector banks continue to reel under pressure. Also, its asset quality is likely to remain comfortable (gross non-performing assets were at 1.2 per cent as of March) with over 36 per cent share of highly rated (AAA and AA) accounts in its corporate book.
The acquisition is expected to support value creation for IndusInd even if it does not add to its earnings. ILFS reported revenue of Rs 3.25 billion and net profit of Rs 450 million for 2017-18. ILFS is a leading capital market intermediary with a dominant market share in clearing business of exchange traded derivatives with products such as broking back office, custodial and depository services, and Esop and loan against securities funding. With over 1,000 broker and foreign portfolio investor accounts, these specialised services would auger well for IndusInd, as volumes are increasing and participation is improving in the capital markets.
“The latest ILFS acquisition will augment and complete the product and services offerings for IndusInd Bank. Financial products are often complementary in nature, and in this case too, a synergy may be expected,” said Lalitabh Shrivastava, assistant vice-president at Sharekhan. Other analysts believe the next logical move will be to expand this business on the retail side.
It will augment overall growth for IndusInd, which is on a path to double its retail customer base to over 20 million and expanding its geographical reach (1,400 branches in 2017-18; a 6 per cent rise from 2016-17).
Analysts, who see the deal as attractive for the bank, foresee around 5 per cent upside in the stock (according to Bloomberg consensus) from current levels.
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