 "China, EU, US to corner 28% of global carbon space by 2030, says study")
Nearly a third of the total remaining international 'carbon space' will be cornered by advanced economies such as the United States, European Union and China before 2100, leaving a smaller emission window for other countries, including India.
An analysis by Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) has pointed out the three entities would use up to at least 28 per cent of the carbon space, which is the maximum amount of carbon emissions permitted to all countries till the turn of the century.
While this significantly reduces the scope of emissions by other countries, it also casts a long shadow on the development plans, both industrial and social, of countries like India and much of Africa.
Of the permitted emissions, a total1000 Gt-CO2eq of carbon dioxide equivalent is left for the world between 2015 and 2100. The CEEW study points out that China with a total emissions of 168 GtCO 2 eq, along with the US (70 GtCO 2 eq) and EU (50 GtCO 2 eq) will significantly decrease this budget before 2030.
The report gains significance as negotiators from 196 countries are currently trying to forge a new pact to tackle climate change in Paris which will focus on checking the global rise in temperature below two degrees Celsius by the end of the century.
Saying the report points out a dire situation for India, Arunabha Ghosh, chief executive officer of CEEW, said, "Countries need to start thinking right now about allocating carbon space based on principles of historical responsibility and economic capabilities."
India, with its ambitious renewable energy goals, has already committed to higher mitigation than its fair share, in effect freeing up carbon space for other developing countries. However, the same might not be true for it.
Developed countries and developing nations are engaged in a debate on whether to allocate carbon space based on principles of historical responsibility and economic capabilities.
India has repeatedly noted that the developed world needs to vacate the carbon space to accommodate development challenges of developing countries.
Climate change adaptation also needs to be central to any climate deal likely to be signed in Paris later this week.
However, CEEW's analysis point out how little global carbon space will remain for the rest of the world when the largest historical emitters continue emitting greenhouse gases. The world has already emitted 1,900 Gt of carbon dioxide till 2011.
CEEW's analysis also reveals that despite the positive impact of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions, the global emissions gap is a mammoth 7-10.5 GtCO 2 eq in 2030, a big shortfall in global effort.
An analysis by Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) has pointed out the three entities would use up to at least 28 per cent of the carbon space, which is the maximum amount of carbon emissions permitted to all countries till the turn of the century.
While this significantly reduces the scope of emissions by other countries, it also casts a long shadow on the development plans, both industrial and social, of countries like India and much of Africa.
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The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, commissioned by the United Nations, had limited global emissions of carbon dioxide from pre-industrialisation level to 2900 Giga tonne (Gt-CO2eq). An increase over this limit will trigger rise in the world temperature beyond two degrees Celsius and unleash a dangerous impact on climate.
Of the permitted emissions, a total1000 Gt-CO2eq of carbon dioxide equivalent is left for the world between 2015 and 2100. The CEEW study points out that China with a total emissions of 168 GtCO 2 eq, along with the US (70 GtCO 2 eq) and EU (50 GtCO 2 eq) will significantly decrease this budget before 2030.
The report gains significance as negotiators from 196 countries are currently trying to forge a new pact to tackle climate change in Paris which will focus on checking the global rise in temperature below two degrees Celsius by the end of the century.
Saying the report points out a dire situation for India, Arunabha Ghosh, chief executive officer of CEEW, said, "Countries need to start thinking right now about allocating carbon space based on principles of historical responsibility and economic capabilities."
India, with its ambitious renewable energy goals, has already committed to higher mitigation than its fair share, in effect freeing up carbon space for other developing countries. However, the same might not be true for it.
Developed countries and developing nations are engaged in a debate on whether to allocate carbon space based on principles of historical responsibility and economic capabilities.
India has repeatedly noted that the developed world needs to vacate the carbon space to accommodate development challenges of developing countries.
Climate change adaptation also needs to be central to any climate deal likely to be signed in Paris later this week.
However, CEEW's analysis point out how little global carbon space will remain for the rest of the world when the largest historical emitters continue emitting greenhouse gases. The world has already emitted 1,900 Gt of carbon dioxide till 2011.
CEEW's analysis also reveals that despite the positive impact of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions, the global emissions gap is a mammoth 7-10.5 GtCO 2 eq in 2030, a big shortfall in global effort.