“There is definitely a revival, but there is also cautious optimism. There is some level of uncertainty because the third wave could happen. The second wave broke confidence — anything can happen without a warning,” says Mohit Joshi, CEO, Havas Media Group.
And that is the first point about this revival — it is coloured by the pandemic in myriad ways.
“The skew of brand advertising changed; there is an entirely new set of advertisers called fintech, EdTech et al,” says Joshi.
A global shortage of chips has meant that “supply is a problem even though demand is strong,” says Shashank Srivastava, executive director, Maruti Suzuki. As a category, automobiles will just about reach FY2020 levels of advertising spend, he reckons.
“The revival is coming from tier 2, 3, 4 cities such as Nasik, Aurangabad, Dhanbad, Alwar, Gwalior, Sagar,” says Agarwal.
From about 65 per cent, DB now gets over 70 per cent of its advertising from local advertisers such as Mangalam in Jaipur or Anand Jewellers in Indore. That, surprisingly, is the second point. Unlike ad revivals in the past, this one is not led by Metro markets such as Mumbai or Delhi but by people in the second-rung cities getting restless and wanting to step out and spend. It also explains, in part, why print is soaring so quickly despite the fact that there has been no Indian Readership Survey or IRS since the last quarter of 2019.
This brings it to the last and most important point about the revival. It has reinforced the power of print and TV. The impact of being on say KBC or the front page of page of Dainik Bhaskar was clearly being missed. “Digital got a chance to prove whatever it had to prove. This has been a period of validation,” says Shenoy. He explains that the top funnel (of marketing) is about reach and awareness where traditional media works best. At the middle funnel where desire, preferences et al are being created, a mix of traditional and digital works. The bottom funnel which is about getting sales, driving e-commerce, is where digital works best.
At 468 million unique visitors a month, digital’s reach is just a little over half of TV’s 892 million. Print has been at a steady 421 million a month. The mind space that digital has occupied for some time now has been disproportionate to its hold and size. There has been a much-needed correction on that. As Shenoy says, “This year will be a one-of-a-kind.”
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