A new paper by World Bank economists blames a "jobs deficit" for the decline in female labour force participation over the past decade. The study says a scarcity of "suitable job opportunities" outside farming and close to the place of residence are the main reasons why fewer women have joined the workforce.
This study has challenged the widely accepted narrative by India's policymakers and, if accepted, will have far-reaching ramifications.
According to National Sample Survey Office (NSSO), employment surveys, women participation rates in India fell sharply after 2004-05. Between 2004-05 and 2010-11, women labour participation in rural areas fell 12-14 percentage points.
To a large extent, this was because of a fall in agricultural employment. In the preceding five years (1999-00 to 2004-05), women participation had firmed up, increasing by roughly 14.6 million. Economists have argued this increase was in response to rural distress. Agricultural growth during these years had slowed to less than two per cent annually, putting pressure on farm incomes. This prompted women's entry into labour force, boosting household incomes. The situation reversed after 2004-05. The conventional explanation for reversal rests on the "income effect".
With rural incomes steadily increasing because of a combination of rising commodity prices and government support, female labour force participation fell sharply. Santosh Mehrotra, professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University, says, "with the rise of commercial agriculture and of household income (and fall in poverty rate), the opportunity cost of domestic activities for women increases, while that for paid labour of women decreases." Hence, women withdrew from the labour force in large numbers, a preferred choice in what is predominantly a patriarchal society.
Other explanations by economists like Mehrotra are greater involvement in domestic duties and care work, poor skills training, lack of support for women entrepreneurs, occupational segregation and informality of work.
In the absence of a detailed analytical study, it has been difficult to gauge the actual impact of each of these factors. That's the question this study tried to address.