Sugar subsidy: India's trying to race Brazil by rushing exports

Sugar mills are trying to lock in deals with buyers from China to Iran to begin exports from October 1, when fresh government subsidies kick in.
 
The millers will start shipping from the country’s record stockpiles instead of waiting for the new sugar crop to become available to fully use the time it has until April, when supplies from rival Brazil start to flood the market, according to an industry association.
 
Producers are talking to importers in West Asia, China, East Africa, Bangladesh, Iran and Sri Lanka with a view to starting shipments from next month, the beginning of the new season, Abinash Verma, director general of the Indian Sugar Mills Association, said in an interview.

 

Higher exports may put further pressure on global prices that are hovering near a one-year low, further irritating major growers. Australia, Brazil and Guatemala have jointly asked the World Trade Organization (WTO) to set up a panel to challenge India’s subsidies. Indian millers say the country has been struggling with huge stockpiles because of bumper output in recent years and an increase in shipments could help ease their pain.
 
Incentives
 
The government approved incentives worth Rs 6,268 crore last month to subsidise exports of as much as 6 million tonnes of sugar in 2019-20. The government will reimburse a portion of local and ocean freight charges and expenses related to handling, upgrading and processing sugar.

 
The move is aimed at cutting huge sugar reserves. Opening stockpiles at the start of the 2019-20 season is expected to be 14.2 million tonnes, before further swelling to 16.2 million tonnes at the end of the year, according to the government.
 
Inventories are expected to remain high despite predictions that sugar output may drop to a three-year low of 28.2 million tonnes in 2019-20 from a record of 32.95 million tonnes this year after dry weather parched fields in some major growing areas, according to the association.
 
Sugar exports may climb to 3.7 million-3.8 million tonnes this year, with the mills asking the government to help ship a record 7 million tonnes in 2019-20.