 "Congress catching up in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen poll")
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)'s popularity is declining sharply in Delhi but it is still attracting enough voters to win three of the national capital's seven Lok Sabha seats, says a ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll result, issued on Thursday.
The survey says the Congress party is rapidly recovering the voter base it had lost earlier to the AAP; this could enable it to win one seat. The Bharatiya Janata Party has also improved marginally, possibly enough to win three seats.
They would announce opinion poll results for the rest of the country over the next two days. The error margin is a range of five per cent, both ways.
The poll's January survey had found AAP's vote share to be a as high as 55 per cent; this dipped to 49 per cent in a February poll. It had then forecast AAP's victory in six of Delhi's seven seats, with the BJP likely to get one.
However, the current poll, done between March 9 and 16, polling 456 people, predicts a sharp drop in AAP's vote share to 34 per cent. While, that of the Congress had risen from nine per cent in January to 14 per cent in February and 28 per cent in the latest survey.
In sum, the survey predicts a better performance for both BJP and Congress than it had estimated in earlier polls. It says BJP's vote share improved from 29 per cent in January to 30 per cent in February to 32 per cent now - possibly enough, as mentioned, for three seats. The party vote share in Delhi was 35.1 per cent in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, when it won none of the seven seats. In that election, the Congress took all seven seats, with a vote share of 57.1 per cent.
The survey says the Congress party is rapidly recovering the voter base it had lost earlier to the AAP; this could enable it to win one seat. The Bharatiya Janata Party has also improved marginally, possibly enough to win three seats.
They would announce opinion poll results for the rest of the country over the next two days. The error margin is a range of five per cent, both ways.
The poll's January survey had found AAP's vote share to be a as high as 55 per cent; this dipped to 49 per cent in a February poll. It had then forecast AAP's victory in six of Delhi's seven seats, with the BJP likely to get one.
However, the current poll, done between March 9 and 16, polling 456 people, predicts a sharp drop in AAP's vote share to 34 per cent. While, that of the Congress had risen from nine per cent in January to 14 per cent in February and 28 per cent in the latest survey.
In sum, the survey predicts a better performance for both BJP and Congress than it had estimated in earlier polls. It says BJP's vote share improved from 29 per cent in January to 30 per cent in February to 32 per cent now - possibly enough, as mentioned, for three seats. The party vote share in Delhi was 35.1 per cent in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, when it won none of the seven seats. In that election, the Congress took all seven seats, with a vote share of 57.1 per cent.