Rising bond rates may not have a devastating impact on the bottomlines of commercial banks. |
According to banking sector analysts, most of the banks have built a cushion in the form of investment fluctuation reserves (IFRs) to withstand any shock arising out of a rise in interest rates. |
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On an average, banks have built up an IFR of around 3.5 per cent of their investments in government securities. |
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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in 2001 had directed banks to build a 5 per cent IFR by March 2006. |
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Sources close to the RBI pointed out that there will not be any drastic impact on banks' balance sheets. |
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"There could be some minor impact, depending on a particular bank's bond portfolio. But in no way it will be alarming," said sources. |
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The banks have made huge profits in their government securities portfolio over the last few years as interest rates dipped. |
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The yield on the 10-year benchmark government paper has dipped by over 6 percentage points since 2000. As the prices of bonds move in an inverse ratio to the yield, banks make profits when interest rates dip. |
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However, as the rates are moving northwards, they will be required to make provisions to mark-to-market their bond portfolio. This will in turn impact their bottomlines. |
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Andhra Bank and Corporation Bank have already met the five per cent IFR level. |
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Vijaya Bank and Bank of Baroda have maintained an IFR of around 4 per cent of securities under held for trading and available for sale. |
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Canara Bank has built up reserves of Rs 978 crore up to March 2004, reaching 3.5 per cent of its total investments in gilts. |
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Allahabad Bank's IFR as on March 31, 2004, accounts for 3 per cent of its investment in gilts. |
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UCO Bank holds Rs 329.61 crore (Rs 126.61 crore) in the IFR of which 3.01 per cent is invested in gilts. |
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