BoE given powers to spend up to $73 bn on bonds, commercial paper.
The Bank of England cut the benchmark interest rate to the lowest since the bank was founded in 1694 to help drag the British economy out of the deepening recession.
The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mervyn King, reduced the bank rate to 1 per cent from 1.5 per cent. The decision matched the median estimate of 61 economists of a Bloomberg News survey.
The UK economy will shrink the most since 1946 this year and faster than any other industrialised country, International Monetary Fund forecasts show. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s government has given the central bank powers to spend up to £50 billion ($73 billion) on bonds and commercial paper as interest rates lose their potency to aid economic growth.
“The global economy is in the throes of a severe and synchronised downturn,” the central bank said in a statement. “Business and household sentiment in many countries has deteriorated. The supply of credit remains constrained.”
King will present the bank’s updated economic forecasts on February 11. Minutes of this month’s meeting, showing how the members voted, will be published on February 18.
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The Bank of England has now lowered its rate by 4 percentage points since October. The US Federal Reserve has reduced its key rate to a range between zero and 0.25 per cent. The European Central Bank will probably keep its rate at 2 per cent on Thursday.
‘Deep Recession’
“We have a deep recession and a credit crunch,” said Michael Saunders, chief Western European economist at Citigroup Inc in London. “Why wait? The debate is about how the economy can ever recover, and the Bank of England has the answer to that in its hands.”
The bank said there is “a substantial risk” that inflation will fall too far below the 2 per cent target even though rate cuts since October, a £20 billion package of tax cuts, cheaper commodities and sharp drop in the value of the pound are likely to provide “a considerable stimulus.”
King’s next step may be to pump additional money into the financial system.
He said January 20 that the central bank will buy “high-quality” assets within “weeks and not months” to ease market strains, a policy in line with similar measures pursued by Fed Chairman Ben S Bernanke.
Brown and King are trying to rescue an economy that will contract 2.8 per cent in 2009, according to IMF forecasts. House prices fell an annual 16.4 per cent in January, mortgage lender Halifax said on Thursday.
Job Cuts
Ford Motor Co said on Thursday that it plans to cut up to 850 jobs in the UK as demand for autos and commercial vans slumps. As many as 5,000 British companies may file for bankruptcy this year, a report by accounting and insolvency firm KPMG showed.
The downturn is cooling inflation. Consumer prices rose 3.1 per cent from a year earlier in December, compared with 4.1 per cent the previous month, the biggest drop in the annual rate since records began in 1997. The central bank’s target is to keep inflation at 2 per cent.
Brown said yesterday that the world is suffering a “depression,” suggesting he may increase measures to stimulate the economy. The government has already pledged hundred of billions of pounds to prop up banks, and the pound has fallen 26 per cent against the dollar and 16 per cent against the euro in the past year, making British exports cheaper.
‘Stimulus Factors’
“There are many stimulus factors in place, cuts in interest rates, various fiscal packages will help,” said Nick Bate, an economist at Merrill Lynch & Co in London and a former Treasury official. “But given that we’re in a world where many central banks are cutting severely, the ability to fine tune the economy has passed.”
The Federation of Small Businesses said on Wednesday that recent interest rate cuts aren’t helping companies because they cannot get access to loans. More than two-thirds of small businesses wanted the central bank to keep the rate unchanged, according to an FSB poll. The Building Societies Association, representing customer-owned lenders, also called for no change.
For now, the central bank may still have little choice but to keep cutting.
“The fundamentals are still weak and there is still some scope for orthodox policy easing,” said Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London. “It’s preferable to nudge rates further now than to turn to the printing presses.”