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Global stocks up on U.S. data, oil euro slips pre-summit

MARKETS-GLOBAL:Global stocks up on U.S. data, oil euro slips pre-summit

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Reuters By Wanfeng Zhou and Barani Krishnan</p>NEW YORK
Last Updated : Jan 24 2013 | 1:49 AM IST
new York  June 28, 2012, 1:20 IST

new York  06 28, 2012, 01:30 IST

 

Stocks rose on major world markets on Wednesday after encouraging U.S. data and a rally in oil, but the euro slipped ahead of a European summit that was seen as unlikely produce a credible solution to the region's debt crisis.

Shares on Wall Street headed for their largest gain in a week. The run-up came after demand for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rose sharply more than expected in May and pending home sales hit a two-year high.

On commodity markets, U.S. oil prices returned to above $80 per barrel and Brent crude in London erased early losses as a strike by Norwegian oil workers dragged on.

The rally in oil helped accelerate gains in U.S. stocks, with shares of energy firms among the biggest gainers.

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"We are in a market now, where in the absence of bad news, the market just goes higher and then with bad news, the gains are instantly erased," said Randy Frederick, managing director of active trading and derivatives at the brokerage Charles Schwab.

"I think building your position now (ahead of the EU summit) is pretty dangerous, without clearly hedging your portfolio."

European Union leaders remained unusually divided ahead of the two-day summit beginning Thursday over how to stem the bloc's spreading debt crisis, now in its third year.

EUROPEAN LEADERS AT ODDS

In a comment earlier this week, Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, noted that European sovereign and bank deleveraging could very well be a disorderly event, even as investors seem to be betting otherwise.

"This 'fat tail' event must be considered a significant possibility," Bridgewater wrote.

Even before the summit, Germany's Angela Merkel had said total debt liability would not be shared in her lifetime, giving little support to Italian and Spanish pleas for immediate action. Rome and Madrid have seen their borrowing costs spiral to a level which for Spain at least would not be sustainable.

"Merkel continues to paint the newswires with her thoughts on the EU way forward as the Eurobond concept does not appeal to her still, and the EU blueprint seems a little off in her eyes," said Brad Bechtel, managing director at Faros Trading in Stamford, Connecticut.

"I don't think we will get anything substantive out of the EU summit and neither does the market after having been told as much over the past several days by EU officials."

An hour to the close, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 81.02 points, or 0.65 percent, at 12,615.69. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 9.78 points, or 0.74 percent, at 1,329.77. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 15.31 points, or 0.54 percent, at 2,869.37.

European shares also rallied on the upbeat U.S. data, closing up 1.4 percent for their largest gain since June 19.

The MSCI world equity index rose 0.8 percent, though it remained down week-to-date.

The euro edged lower, slipping against the dollar for a third straight day as it traded 0.2 percent down at $1.2461.

Growing concerns that more peripheral euro zone nations will be shut out from capital markets and expectations that fiscal austerity will drag the region into a more painful recession will see the euro stay under pressure. Any bounce toward the $1.27 or $1.28 level would attract sellers, traders said.

"I am going short euro/dollar into the summit," said Stuart Frost, head of absolute returns and currency at RWC Capital, a London-based fund manager. "The euro should be a lot lower than what it is and even if there is an agreement, chances of which are very low, the currency is headed towards $1.20."

EURO BONDS

Debt markets continued to reflect the worsening funding outlook for many euro zone nations, with investors reluctant to increase their exposure even to safe-haven debt ahead of the leaders' summit.

Italy's six-month borrowing costs rose to 2.957 percent at auction on Wednesday, their highest since December. The spike comes just ahead of a five- and 10-year debt sale for up to 5.5 billion euros on Thursday. On Tuesday, Spain saw its short-term borrowing costs nearly triple.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 2/32, its yield at 1.6211 percent.

Markets had been hoping this week's summit would deliver at least a high-level agreement on greater fiscal and financial integration across the euro area that could then ultimately lead to the issuance of common euro bonds.

"It is slightly different than what we saw before other summits in the past when hopes were quite high," said Norbert Wuthe, senior government bond strategist at Bayerische Landesbank. "Now we are disappointed going into the summit and there is a positive surprise potential."

 

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First Published: Jun 28 2012 | 1:20 AM IST

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