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Hints of consolidation

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Vijay L. Bhambwani Mumbai
Last Updated : Mar 01 2013 | 2:40 PM IST
The markets opened on a shaky note and proceeded to trade sideways through Tuesday. The benchmark indices were more or less unchanged.
 
The traded volumes were lower than in Monday's session with participants adopting a wait and watch approach.
 
The breadth was positive as the ratio of advancing to declining shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange combined were 1836 : 1322.
 
The F&O data of the previous session indicate a bullish undercurrent as the bulls have enhanced their commitments in the futures segment.
 
The indices are showing signs of consolidation as the critical short-term support levels of 2034 and 6505 on the Nifty and the Sensex, respectively, have not yet been violated.
 
The short-term players need to watch the minor resistance levels at 2064 and 6574 levels on the Nifty and the Sensex, respectively.
 
A convincing close above these levels with higher volumes will see a fresh gain in the short term.
 
Traded volumes will play a crucial part in trend determination as the retail segment is going to be a key to the sustainability of the market trends.
 
The outlook for the markets on Wednesday is that of cautious optimism as the correction / consolidation process is unlikely to last beyond three consecutive sessions and therefore the markets are likely to take a directional call in the coming session.
 
Among stocks, activity is likely to be seen in HDFC, which is showing signs of strength as the scrip derives support at the short-term averages on the weekly charts.
 
Buying is recommended as long as the scrip remains above the Rs 805 levels in the cash and derivatives segments.
 
Trades should be initiated on lower volumes till clarity emerges in the markets.

Vijay L. Bhambwani
(CEO - BSPLindia.com)

The author is a Mumbai-based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@BSPLindia.com  or(022) 23438482 / 23400345.
 
Sebi disclosure: the analyst has no exposure to the scrips mentioned above.

 
 

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First Published: Feb 09 2005 | 12:00 AM IST

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