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Lack of monsoon rain may not mean stocks pain

MARKET-EYE-LACK-OF-INDIAN-MONSOON-RAIN-MAY-N:Lack of monsoon rain may not mean stocks pain

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Reuters
Last Updated : Jan 24 2013 | 2:11 AM IST

Reuters Market Eye - Indian stock markets have been awash with worries about a weak monsoon, but a look at the historic performance of the Sensex in the June-September season may dispel those fears.

Stock investors tend to track the monsoon season, given lower-than-expected rainfalls can raise inflation worries and hit rural consumption.

However, a look at how Sensex has performed over the monsoon season shows little actual impact from rainfalls. In 2009, a year when India suffered a drought, the BSE index went on to gain 17.1 percent during the June-September period.

In fact, the Sensex has only fallen twice during periods of short monsoon rainfalls in the past 10 years: when the global financial crisis was percolating in 2008 and during the midst of global bear markets in 2002.

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First Published: Jul 17 2012 | 3:35 PM IST

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