<< The southward journey is continued in the Indian equity market on the back of intense geopolitical tension.
<< Brent crude is trading near $130 per barrel which is a multiyear high level. Higher crude oil prices are leading to weakness in the rupee whereas relentless selling by FIIs is also causing pressure in our market.
<< FII selling has reached above their selling during the global financial crisis. Higher commodity prices are fueling inflation fear and that may lead RBI to increase interest rates faster than anticipation.
<< Geopolitical uncertainty is still one of the biggest issues otherwise we are in a structural bull market where we are seeing the first meaningful correction that will provide great buying opportunities for long-term investors.
<< Technically, the overall structure is weak however 15,500 is a sacrosanct support level where we can expect a bounceback while below 15,500, we can expect levels of 15,000. While, 14,000 is a worst-case scenario.
<< On the upside, 16,300-16,500 will be the first resistance area, while bulls will get confidence only at a decisive move above the 17,000 level.
<< Investors should focus on the domestic economy facing sectors like capital goods, infrastructure, real estate, banking, etc. IT sector may continue to do well where ongoing correction is an opportunity to add some quality stocks.
<< The auto sector is also providing favorable risk-reward opportunities after a period of underperformance.
<< Our top picks in this correction are Thermax, KNR Construction, LT, SBI, ICICI Bank, Infosys, KPIT, Tata Power, Tata Motors, Minda Industries, SBI Life insurance, Bajaj Finserv, Canfin homes, Sobha, Brigade Enterprises, Kajaria Ceramics, and Reliance.
Views by Parth Nyati, Founder, Tradingo