US fuel demand has dropped for seven out of the past eight weeks while a report tomorrow may show manufacturing slumped to a five-year low this month. |
Fighting between government forces and militiamen in Iraq, holder of the third- largest proven oil reserves, eased after a truce offer from Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr. |
"US demand will likely remain weak for the next few months,'' Goldman Sachs Group analysts including Giovanni Serio said in a report on Monday. ``The combined impact of a weakening economy and high oil price inflation are putting pressure on total US oil demand.'' |
Crude oil for May delivery fell as much as $1.28, or 1.2 per cent, to $104.34 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $104.89 at 1:05 pm in London. Oil in New York has gained 9.5 per cent this quarter. |
New York oil futures reached a record $111.80 on March 17 as the slumping US dollar and falling equity prices encouraged investors to seek better returns in commodities. Prices dropped as low as $99.13 last week before rebounding amid renewed fighting in southern Iraq. |
Brent crude for May settlement declined as much as 91 cents, or 0.9 per cent, to $102.86 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. It was at $103.61 at 1:06 pm London time. Brent has risen 11 per cent this quarter. |
Iraq Violence An Iraqi oil pipeline that carries about 100,000 barrels a day to the Basra oil terminal was damaged by a fire started by an explosive device on March 27. Two larger pipelines, which together move about 1.5 million barrels a day of crude to the port on the Persian Gulf, were unaffected by the blast. |
The pipeline attack came after the Iraq government led by Nuri al-Maliki began raids on the Shiite force led by al-Sadr in Basra, with violence spreading to Baghdad and other cities. |
``One `good' thing about having pipelines bombed often is that it teaches a country how to repair them quickly,'' Peter Beutel, president of Connecticut-based consultant Cameron Hanover, said in a report. ``The pipeline was bombed on Thursday and repaired on Friday.'' |
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators cut their bets on rising oil prices for a second time last week, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission reported March 28. |
Net-long positions, the difference between orders to buy and sell the commodity, fell 38 per cent to 53,892 contracts on March 25, a six-week low. The same measure fell 24 per cent the week before. |
``Open interest in commodities is coming off and large speculative funds are generally reducing length exposure,'' Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix Gmbh, said in a report. |