The market-wide weighted price to earnings (P/E) multiple, which soared to an unsustainable level of over 28.1 when the Sensex hit its all-time high of 21,282 on January 8, has come down to 19.19, with the benchmark index hovering around 15k levels. |
The weighted P/E of the BSE stocks has also declined from 27.4 to 17.24. This is largely on account of the 30 per cent plus correction in the market prices between January 8 and on Monday.
MELTDOWN Sensex stocks with high P/E | | Price to earnings (P/E) | Jan-08 | Mar-17 | Larsen & Toubro | 71.54 | 41.42 | Reliance Comm | 53.78 | 36.18 | BHEL | 43.69 | 30.33 | HDFC Bank | 45.76 | 30.00 | HDFC | 45.13 | 28.44 | Reliance Energy | 65.91 | 27.87 | Hind Unilever | 28.75 | 26.23 | Bharti Airtel | 34.48 | 24.56 | ITC | 29.75 | 23.07 | Reliance Ind | 34.03 | 22.92 | |
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In simple terms, an investor who was willing to pay Rs 28 for a rupee earned per share on January 8 is now willing to pay only Rs 19 for the same stock. |
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This has happened largely due to the global meltdown following the sub-prime crisis and projected slowdown in the US economy in the first two quarters of CY08. |
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The current weighted P/E multiple has been compiled by taking into account the net profits of 2,060 companies for the trailing 12 months (TTM) ended December 2007. |
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The P/E as on January 8 was based on the TTM net profit ended September 2007. The weighted P/E is the total market capitalisation of 2,060 companies divided by their net profit in the latest TTM period. |
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If one expects the corporate profits to grow by 15-20 per cent in FY09, the Sensex's forward P/E at the current value is 17-17.8 times and the market wide P/E is 15.5-16 times. |
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The P/E of A group stocks has fallen from 28.3 to 19, the stocks of B group and S group have reacted sharply to the market meltdown with the P/E of these groups plunging from 23.6 times on January 8 to the current 15. |
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While the marketwise P/E multiples have come down, as many as 650 stocks are trading above their average P/Es. The P/Es for 1,463 stocks have been relatively cheaper, with multiples of 10 and below. |
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Among the Sensex stocks, Larsen & Toubro is trading at a P/E of 41.4 (down from 71 on January 8). Reliance Communication is not going cheap either, as it is trading at a P/E of 36.2 times. |
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Though HDFC, HDFC Bank, DLF, BHEL and Reliance Energy have declined by 25-50 per cent from their January 8 highs, they are still trading at P/E multiples over 25-30 times. |
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