Shares of rate sensitive sectors such as banking, real estate and automobiles are trading higher on hopes of more interest rate cuts after the headline inflation fell within the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s comfort zone.
State Bank of India, HDFC Bank and Punjab National Bank from banking, Indiabulls Real Estate, DLF and Unitech from realty and Tata Motors and Hero MotoCorp from auto sector are trading higher by over 2% each on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation for April 2013 moderated for the third straight month to 4.89%, a 41-month low as compared to 5.96% in the previous month and 7.50% in April 2012. RBI’s comfort level for inflation is between 4% and 5%.
In light of the positive surprises in WPI and consumer price index (CPI) inflation and the benign outlook going ahead for global commodity and crude prices, most of the analysts see scope for policy easing by the RBI in its June 17 monetary policy review.
“We expect the RBI to cut the repo rate by 25bp at its June 17 policy meet. But on the other hand the trade deficit soared by 72.6% month-on-month during April 2013 and in view of risks from the current account deficit we expect the RBI to reiterate its cautious stance on policy easing going forward and focus on monetary transmission,” says analyst at Angel Broking.
Analyst at Barclays Research believes WPI inflation below 5% provides ample room for the RBI to cut policy rates at its policy meeting.
State Bank of India, HDFC Bank and Punjab National Bank from banking, Indiabulls Real Estate, DLF and Unitech from realty and Tata Motors and Hero MotoCorp from auto sector are trading higher by over 2% each on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation for April 2013 moderated for the third straight month to 4.89%, a 41-month low as compared to 5.96% in the previous month and 7.50% in April 2012. RBI’s comfort level for inflation is between 4% and 5%.
In light of the positive surprises in WPI and consumer price index (CPI) inflation and the benign outlook going ahead for global commodity and crude prices, most of the analysts see scope for policy easing by the RBI in its June 17 monetary policy review.
“We expect the RBI to cut the repo rate by 25bp at its June 17 policy meet. But on the other hand the trade deficit soared by 72.6% month-on-month during April 2013 and in view of risks from the current account deficit we expect the RBI to reiterate its cautious stance on policy easing going forward and focus on monetary transmission,” says analyst at Angel Broking.
Analyst at Barclays Research believes WPI inflation below 5% provides ample room for the RBI to cut policy rates at its policy meeting.