What charts say about 2006
Devagshu DattaMilind Karandikar New Delhi
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Three consecutive years of strong performance have led to frightening levels of investor-confidence. It is the first time that the Indian markets have witnessed a bull-run sustained over such a long period and with a such a broad effect. |
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In the past three years, the Nifty has moved up by over 175 per cent and this movement has not been one-sided. Previous bull markets have tended to run out of steam inside 12-18 months and usually, as in the IT boom of 1999-2000, one sector has led the way and outperformed everything else by a distance. |
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However, between 2003-2005, scrips from every sector have delivered decent capital appreciation. The gains have also been well-distributed in terms of market cap. Big stocks, small stocks and above all, mid-sized stocks have all done well. |
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Naturally everyone would like to know the answers to two questions. |
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A) Will the bull run continue through 2006? |
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B) And, assuming it does, is it likely to remain as broad and secular as in 2005? |
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Before we start delving for the answers, it
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