FINANCIALS | ||||
FY02 | FY03 | FY04 | FY05 | |
Net Sales (Rs Cr) | 394.12 | 438.53 | 540.21 | 704.28 |
Y-o-Y Growth (%) | - | 11.27 | 23.19 | 30.37 |
Operating Profit (Rs Cr) | 203.80 | 199.46 | 234.83 | 255.55 |
Y-o-Y Growth (%) | - | -2.13 | 17.73 | 8.82 |
Operating Profit Margin (%) | 51.71 | 45.48 | 43.47 | 36.29 |
Net Profit (Rs Cr) | 104.51 | 87.49 | 116.97 | 160.64 |
Y-o-Y Growth (%) | - | -16.29 | 33.70 | 37.33 |
Net Profit Margin (%) | 26.52 | 19.95 | 21.65 | 22.81 |
EPS | 2.53 | 2.20 | 2.91 | 3.89 |
Moreover, they feel that the EBITDA of ZTL post demerger is unlikely to change. However, one analyst believes that ZTL's EBITDA would increase since many of the loss making businesses would have been demrged.
But the counter argument to this is that soon there is bound to come some addressibility in the system. When this happens, the cable business would show significant revenues. Thus ZTL stands to lose this potential revenue.
Analysts say that it is very difficult to value WWIL currently since its value would depend on the strategic investor that Zee is able to rope in. Some anlaysts also find ZNL an unattractive investment since the news and the regional channels face high competition.
The reason these channels were able to attract advertising revenues is because they were being bundled togther with the flagship channel. The subscription revenues of regional channels would depend on how they will be priced in the conditional access system (CAS) regime.
Industry observers have no doubt that the issue of addressebility would soon be resolved. In fact, there are already talks of the CAS being implemented. Once implementation of the CAS gains momentum, Zee will try to push its DTH business.
Currently ZTL has a million subscribers under DTH. Analysts are however divided on which is likely to be the eventual winner. Some see more takers for the CAS as the initial expenses are comparatively lower.
But some see more growth coming in from DTH as they expect it to be preferred more by both broadcasters and subscribers "� broadcasters, as it eliminates local cable operator and subscribers, as it gives better visual reception.
Also, DTH has the potential to widen its reach as it can be implemented even in areas where there are no local cable operators. Thus, the DTH entity is likely to generate investor interest.
But the swap ratio of the DTH entity for existing shareholders of ZTL has not been decided. So, if promoter's share in the DTH company is high , the stock would be unattractive from an investor's perspective.
The two newly formed entities for the CAS and DTH would, in a way, be competing against each other. WWIL's business is connected with the cable operations while ASC deals with the DTH business. Both these would be striving to garner a larger share of the same pie. Zee today has a presence across 120 countries.