Key benchmark indices snapped two day winning streak as Q4 earnings season started on a weak note, with shares of IT major Infosys tumbling after the company's tepid revenue growth guidance for the year ending 31 March 2014 (FY 2014). Weakness in European and Asian stocks also weighed on sentiment. Shares of Infosys lost a staggering over 21%. Shares of many other IT companies fell as Infosys' tepid revenue guidance raised concerns about the outlook for the software services exporting sector. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, lost 299.64 points or 1.62%, off close to 95 points from the day's high and up about 55 points from the day's low. The market breadth was negative.
From a recent low of 18,226.48 on 9 April 2013, the Sensex had jumped 315.72 points or 1.73% in two trading sessions to settle at 18,542.20 on 11 April 2013. The Sensex has fallen 593.21 points or 3.14% in this month so far (till 12 April 2013). The Sensex has declined 1184.15 points or 6.09% in calendar 2013 so far (till 12 April 2013). From a 52-week high of 20,203.66 on 29 January 2013, the Sensex has declined 1,961.10 points or 9.7%. From a 52-week low of 15,748.98 on 4 June 2012, the Sensex has surged 2,493.58 points or 15.83%.
Coming back to today's trade, index heavyweight and cigarette maker ITC edged higher. Another index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) also edged higher. FMCG stocks gained on reports of likely normal monsoon this year. JSW Steel jumped after Group Chief Financial Officer Seshagiri Rao said in an interview to a news agency that the company plans to refinance loan amounting to about Rs 5500 crore with dollar debt this year to lower interest costs.
The market tumbled in early trade as Infosys slumped after Q4 results. Weakness continued on the bourses in morning trade. The market remained weak in mid-morning trade. The market extended intraday losses in early afternoon trade. Weakness prevailed in afternoon trade as European markets opened lower and Asian stocks continued to hover in the red. The Sensex continued to hover in red in mid-afternoon trade. Weakness continued in late trade.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 36.63 crore on Thursday, 11 April 2013, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.
The S&P BSE Sensex lost 299.64 points or 1.62% to settle at 18,242.56, its lowest closing level since 9 April 2013. The index slumped 356.10 points at the day's low of 18,186.10 in afternoon trade. The index fell 204.29 points at the day's high of 18,337.91 in early trade.
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The CNX Nifty lost 65.45 points or 1.17% to settle at 5,528.55, its lowest closing level since 9 April 2013. The index hit a low of 5,494.90 and a high of 5,544.50 in intraday trade.
The BSE Small-Cap index fell 0.39% and the BSE Mid-Cap index declined 0.14%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
The BSE FMCG index (up 1.95%), BSE Power index (up 1.02%), the banking index -- BSE Bankex (up 0.96%), Oil & Gas index (up 0.84%), BSE PSU index (up 0.47%) and BSE Metal index (up 0.15%), outperformed the Sensex. The BSE IT index (down 11.09%) and BSE Teck index (down 8.87%) underperformed the Sensex.
The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 1931 crore, higher than Rs 1696.44 crore on Thursday, 11 April 2013.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was negative. On BSE, 1,257 shares fell and 1,040 shares rose. A total of 145 shares were unchanged.
Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 17 stocks gained while rest of them fell.
Infosys slumped 21.33%. The stock declined on high volumes. On BSE, 19.25 lakh shares changed hands in the counter compared with average daily volume of 84,173 shares in the past one quarter. Infosys' consolidated net profit as per International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) rose 1.1% to Rs 2394 crore on 0.3% growth in revenue to Rs 10454 crore in Q4 March 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Net profit rose 13.3% to Rs 9421 crore on 19.6% growth in revenue to Rs 40352 crore in the year ended March 2013 (FY 2013) over the year ended 31 March 2012 (FY 2012). The company announced the results before market hours today, 12 April 2013.
The company has forecast a tepid 6% to 10% growth in revenue in both rupee terms and dollar terms for the year ending 31 March 2014 (FY 2014). The revenue growth outlook is lower than industry body Nasscom's projection of 12% to 14% growth in IT exports in the current fiscal year. Infosys has not given full year earnings guidance this time. Infosys had earlier stopped offering quarterly guidance in July 2012.
Infosys and its subsidiaries added 56 clients during the quarter. The company added 8,990 employees on gross basis during the quarter. There was a net addition of 1,059 employees during the quarter.
Infosys said it has decided to set aside up to $100 million to invest in products, platforms and solutions ideas in line with Infosys 3.0 strategy.
Infosys had liquid assets including cash and cash equivalents, current available-for-sale financial assets, investment in certificates of deposits and government bonds, at Rs 23958 crore as on 31 March 2013, higher than Rs 22501 crore as on 31 December 2012.
Commenting on the financial performance, S. D. Shibulal, CEO and Managing Director, Infosys said: "Global economic uncertainties remain challenging for the IT industry. We are progressing well on our strategic direction of building a high-quality company which is relevant to our clients. We are making all the investments necessary to differentiate ourselves in the market place while positioning ourselves as a partner of choice for our clients."
Rajiv Bansal, Chief Financial Officer, Infosys said: "The global currency market continues to be volatile reflecting the uncertain economic environment. Our hedging strategy helps us to minimize the volatility impact. We have a healthy balance sheet with our cash and cash equivalents at $4.4 billion."
Shares of many other IT companies fell as Infosys' tepid revenue guidance raised concerns about the outlook for the software services exporting sector.
HCL Technologies dropped 1.75%. The company on 3 April 2013 said that it is collaborating with North Carolina New Schools -- a statewide public-private catalyst for education innovation -- to create and promote science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) programs and get college students ready for the 21st century workforce. HCL will design an online technology hub which will serve as a central gathering place for featured content and discussion between teachers, principals, school staff, students, counselors, college liaisons, district office superintendents and NC New Schools administration staff. NC New Schools will leverage HCL's services for content creation and management of its collaborative, online community offering access to tools and resources required to accelerate systemic, sustainable innovation in schools. NC New Schools will move approximately 3,000 NC New Schools intranet users to the new technology hub.
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) fell 1.58%. TCS on Tuesday, 9 April 2013, said that it has signed definitive agreements for the acquisition of 100% equity shares in Alti SA, an IT services company in France, for a value of euro 75 million in an all cash transaction. The transaction will strengthen TCS's ability to service its customers in France and other regions in Europe. Alti SA is a privately held company owned by its management and two private equity funds, CM-CIC LBO Partners and IDI, which supported its growth from a revenue base of euro 64 million in 2007 to euro 126 million in 2012.
TCS announces Q4 results on 17 April 2013.
Wipro shed 4.8%. Wipro is now a company focused on the IT business following the demerger of non-IT businesses viz. consumer care products, the infrastructure engineering business and medical diagnostic product and services business. Following the demerger, which took effect on the bourses this week, the non-IT business of the company will be transferred to a separate company to be called Wipro Enterprises.
Wipro announces Q4 results on 19 April 2013.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 0.38% at Rs 774.05. The scrip hit high of Rs 780.60 and a low of Rs 765.25. RIL announces Q4 results on 16 April 2013.
Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani (ADA) Group shares rose. Reliance Infrastructure, Reliance Broadcast Network, Reliance Capital, and Reliance Power gained by 1.94% to 2.43%.
Shares of Reliance Communications rose 2.99%. Reliance Communications (RCom) and Reliance Jio Infocomm, a telecom unit of Reliance Industries (RIL), on 2 April 2013 announced the signing of a definitive agreement for approximately Rs 1200 crore as one time indefeasible right to use (IRU) fees for sharing RCom's nationwide inter-city fiber optic network infrastructure. Reliance Jio Infocomm will utilize multiple fiber pairs across RCom's 1.2 lakh kilometres inter-city fiber optic network to provide a robust and future proof backbone for rolling out its state-of-the-art 4G services. As per the agreement, RCom will in turn have reciprocal access to optic fiber infrastructure to be built by Reliance Jio Infocomm in the future.
The agreement provides for joint working arrangements to be put in place immediately for upgradation of the optic fiber network to ensure seamless delivery of next generation services.
FMCG stocks gained on reports of likely normal monsoon this year. FMCG companies derive a substantial revenue from rural markets. Tata Global Beverages, Dabur India and Hindustan Unilever rose by 0.38% to 1.51%.
Index heavyweight and cigarette major ITC rose 2.58% to Rs 286.55 on defensive buying. The scrip hit high of Rs 295.50 and a low of Rs 286.05. The stock had hit record high of Rs 310.75 on 4 February 2013. The government raised the excise duty on cigarettes by about 18% on all cigarettes except cigarettes of length not exceeding 65 mm in Union Budget 2013-14, which was unveiled on 28 February 2013.
PSU OMCs rose as crude oil prices declined. BPCL, HPCL and Indian Oil Corporation rose by 0.86% to 2.11%. US crude oil futures fell on Thursday as slumping gasoline prices and forecasts for weaker global demand weighed on the oil market. US crude oil futures for May delivery settled $1.13, or 1.2%, lower at $93.51 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Lower crude oil prices will reduce under-recoveries of state-run oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs) on domestic sale of diesel, LPG and kerosene at controlled prices. In January 2013, the government allowed PSU OMCs to raise diesel prices in small measures at regular intervals while completely deregulating diesel prices sold to institutional or bulk buyers.
PSU OMCs cut petrol prices by a rupee with effect from midnight of 1 April 2013. The government has already freed pricing of petrol.
Shares of pharma firm Wockhardt dropped almost 10%.
Cement stocks bucked weak market. ACC, Ambuja Cements, and UltraTech Cement gained by 0.21% to 2.72%.
Idea Cellular fell 1.08%. The Delhi High Court today, 12 April 2013, asked telecom companies Vodafone India and Idea Cellular not to add new customers for their 3G services in circles where they do not have licences to offer that service. The ruling comes a day after the Supreme Court passed the same order for Bharti Airtel, India's leading telecom services provider. The High Court also asked the government not to take coercive steps against the telcos. The Department of Telecommunications (DoT) had slapped penalties of Rs 550 crore on Vodafone and Rs 300 crore on Idea Cellular for offering 3G services in circles where they did not have licences.
Bharti Airtel declined 0.65%. The Supreme Court on Thursday, 11 April 2013, said that Bharti Airtel cannot add new 3G customers in seven zones where it does not own the airwaves and offers the services through pacts with other carriers, pending a final ruling in the dispute. The apex court said that Bharti can continue 3G services in these zones for its existing customers. The court was hearing an appeal by Bharti challenging a government ban on 3G pacts between carriers. Bharti, Vodafone India and Idea Cellular currently offer 3G services outside their licensed zones through pacts with each other. The telecommunications ministry had said that the 3G roaming pacts are illegal and had asked the carriers to end the pacts immediately and also imposed penalties on them.
The Supreme Court also put on hold a penalty of Rs 350 crore that the government imposed on Bharti, and asked the telecom department not to take any actions against Bharti until it gives its order. The court will hear the case again after four weeks.
Bank stocks edged higher. State-run State Bank of India (SBI) rose 1.98%. SBI on 20 March 2013 said that the Executive Committee of the Central Board of the Bank, in its Meeting held on 20 March 2013, approved the issuance and allotment of 1.29 crore equity shares at Rs 2,312.78 per share to the Government of India (GoI) by way of preferential allotment.
Among other PSU bank stocks, Canara Bank, Union Bank of India, Bank of India, Bank of Baroda and Punjab National Bank gained by 0.67% to 3.82%.
HDFC Bank gained 0.85%. HDFC Bank announces Q4 results on 23 April 2013.
ICICI Bank advanced 0.5%. ICICI Bank announces Q4 results on 26 April 2013.
Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMBL) rose 1.44%. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMBL) said before market hours today, 12 April 2013, that the board of directors of the bank at its meeting held on 11 April 2013, has given its consent for issue of 2 crore equity shares of Rs 5 each amounting to approximately 2.6% shareholding in the bank (as of 31 March 2013) on a post-issue basis to Heliconia, an affiliate of Government of Singapore Investment Corporation Pte (GIC), at a price of Rs 648 per share aggregating to Rs 1296 crore on preferential basis. This transaction augments the Tier I capital of the bank for pursuit of growth opportunities, KMBL said in a statement. It will also be a step towards dilution of promoter stake in the bank, it said.
Commenting on the development, Jaimin Bhatt, President & Group CFO, KMBL said: "With delight we welcome a reputed and large global financial institution of the stature of GIC as our shareholder. Their investment in the bank underscores the strong fundamentals of our institution."
Auto stocks edged lower. Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) declined 1%, with the stock sliding for the second straight day triggered by the company saying after market hours on Wednesday, 10 April 2013, that there has been a stoppage of work at the company's Igatpuri plant due to tool down strike by the union. This is post the suspension of two workmen on disciplinary grounds, one of them being an union office bearer. The company is in constant dialogue with the union for an early solution of the issue. The company has currently sufficient stock of engines for production of its vehicles, M&M said in a statement.
Tata Motors declined 0.99%. The company during market hours today, 12 April 2013, said that its global wholesales, including Jaguar Land Rover were 116,521 units in March 2013. Cumulative wholesales for the year ended 31 March 2013 (FY 2013) were 1,196,416 units.
Shares of Tata Motors had jumped 3.92% on Thursday, 11 April 2013, after the company's British luxury car unit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) reported strong global sales for March 2013. British luxury car unit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) on Wednesday, 10 April 2013, said its global sales rose 16% to a record 53,772 units in March 2013 over March 2012. JLR's global sales rose 17% to a record 115,504 units in Q1 March 2013 over Q1 March 2012.
JRL said the Jaguar brand demonstrated strong growth with sales of 9,856 in March up 28% and sales for the quarter of 20,210 up 31%. Land Rover meanwhile delivered the best single month and quarter in its 65 year history with March sales of 43,916, up 14% and quarter one sales of 95,294, up 15% versus 2012, JLR said.
Maruti Suzuki India dropped 1.27%. Maruti on 2 April 2013 said that its total sales declined 4.8% to 1,19,937 units in March 2013 over March 2012. The company's domestic sales fell 4.3% to 1,07,890 units in March 2013 over March 2012. The company's exports dropped 8.9% to 12,047 units in March 2013 over March 2012
Shares of bike makers were mixed. Bajaj Auto rose 1.64%. The company announced on 2 April 2013 that its total sales fell 10% to 3.01 lakh units in March 2013 over March 2012. Motorcycles sales declined 11% to 2.67 lakh units in March 2013 over March 2012. Commercial vehicles sales fell 1% to 34,194 units in March 2013 over March 2012. Exports declined 6% to 1,01,374 units in March 2013 over March 2012.
Shares of Hero MotoCorp dropped 0.22%.
Realty stocks edged lower. DLF, D B Realty, HDIL and Sobha Developers shed by 0.12% to 2.43%. But, Unitech rose 1.25%.
JSW Steel jumped 4.71% after Group Chief Financial Officer Seshagiri Rao said in an interview to a news agency that the company plans to refinance loan amounting to about Rs 5500 crore with dollar debt this year to lower interest costs.
JSW Steel's crude steel production rose 2% to 2.109 million tonne in Q4 March 2013 over Q4 March 2012. The production of flat rolled products rose 11% to 1.65 million tonne in Q4 March 2013 over Q4 March 2012. The production of long rolled products fell 6% to 0.438 million tonne in Q4 March 2013 over Q4 March 2012. JSW Steel reported crude steel production data for Q4 March 2013 and the year ended 31 March 2013 (FY 2013) on 8 April 2013.
The crude steel production rose 15% to 8.518 million tonne in the year ended 31 March 2013 (FY 2013) over the year ended 31 March 2012 (FY 2012). The production of flat rolled products rose 17% to 6.282 million tonne in FY 2013 over FY 2012. The production of long rolled products rose 18% to 1.801 million tonne in FY 2013 over FY 2012.
JSW Steel said in spite of severe constraints in availability and quality of iron ore in the state of Karnataka, the company could operate its Vijayanagar plant at about 80% capacity due to its unique ability of using low grade iron ore through beneficiation process.
The index of industrial production rose 0.6% in February 2013, data released by the government today, 12 April 2013, showed. Manufacturing sector recorded a growth of 2.2%. The mining sector registered a decline of 8.1% and electricity sector declined 3.2%. As per use-based classification, production of basic goods declined 1.8% and that of intermediate goods fell 0.7%. Capital goods production rose 9.5%. Production of consumer non-durables rose 2.9% whereas that of consumer durables shrunk 2.7%.
Industrial production rose 0.9% during the period April 2012 to February 2013.
The combined consumer price inflation for rural and urban India stood at 10.39% in March 2013, lower than 10.91% in February 2013, another data showed. Inflation under the category 'food and beverages' stood at 12.42%, the data showed.
Reduction of promoter stake to meet the Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi) mandated minimum public shareholding of 25% for private companies and 10% for state-run firms could result in supply of equity in the market over the next few months. As per the Sebi mandated minimum public shareholding rule, private-sector companies must cut founders' stake to adhere to the rules by 30 June 2013, while the deadline for state-run firms is 31 August 2013. PSU divestment will also add to share sale glut in FY 2014. The government has set a target of Rs 40000 crore from divestment of government stake in state-run firms and Rs 14000 crore from divestment of stake in non-government companies for FY 2014.
The near term focus of the market is on Q4 results. Reliance Industries (RIL) announces Q4 results on 16 April 2013. TCS announces Q4 results on 17 April 2013. IndusInd Bank announces Q2 results on 18 April 2013. Wipro announces Q4 results on 19 April 2013. Cairn India announces Q4 results on 22 April 2013. UltraTech Cement announces Q4 results on the same day.
HDFC Bank announces Q4 results on 23 April 2013. Axis Bank will announce its Q4 March 2013 results on 24 April 2013. ICICI Bank and Maruti Suzuki unveil Q4 results on 26 April 2013. IDFC announces Q4 results on 1 May 2013. ACC announces Q1 March 2013 results on 3 May 2013. HDFC announces Q4 results on 8 May 2013. Ranbaxy announces Q1 March 2013 results on the same day. Dr. Reddys Laboratories announces Q4 results on 14 May 2013.
The government will unveil data on the wholesale price index (WPI) for March 2013 on Monday, 15 April 2013. WPI inflation is projected to ease to 6.4% in March 2013 from 6.84% in February 2013, as per the median estimate of a poll of economists carried out by Capital Market. WPI inflation had edged up to 6.84% in February 2013 from 6.62% in January 2013.
The India Meteorological Department will issue its initial forecast of 2013 southwest monsoon in this month.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor D. Subbarao on 6 April 2013 said that the high fiscal deficit is a problem because it exacerbates inflation and impedes monetary policy transmission. The RBI will announce the Monetary Policy Statement 2013-14 on 3 May 2013. The RBI cut its key policy rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5% after a mid-quarter monetary policy review on 19 March 2013. The key macroeconomic priorities are to raise the growth rate, restrain inflation pressures and mitigate the vulnerability of the external sector, RBI said at that time. Even as the policy stance emphasises addressing the growth risks, the headroom for further monetary easing remains quite limited, the RBI said. The RBI said it will continue to actively manage liquidity through various instruments, including open market operations (OMO), so as to ensure adequate flow of credit to productive sectors of the economy.
On the political front, the Congress led UPA government has been reduced to a minority government, with DMK removing support to the government in March this year citing differences on the issue of atrocities on Tamils in Sri Lanka. Earlier, the Trinamool Congress withdrew support to the government in September last year as it opposed economic reforms. The Samajwadi Party (SP) along with its regional rival in Uttar Pradesh Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) provide outside support to the UPA government. SP has 22 MPs in Lok Sabha and BSP has 21 MPs.
The finance ministry in October 2012 announced a five-year plan to cut fiscal deficit. The government hopes to reduce the fiscal deficit to 3% by March 2017.
The second half of the Budget session of the Parliament begins on 22 April 2013. The government has lined up a number of key bills for consideration and passing during the Budget session of the parliament, which include The Forward Contracts (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2010, The Pension Fund Regulator and Development Authority Bill, 2011, The Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement Bill, 2011, The National Food Security Bill, 2011 and The Insurance Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2008. The Budget Session of the Parliament ends on 10 May 2013.
Assembly elections will be held in Karnataka on 5 May 2013 and the counting of votes and results of the election will be declared on 8 May 2013.
European shares edged lower on Friday on profit booking after a four-day winning streak. Key benchmark indices in UK, France and Germany were down by 0.51% to 1.26%.
Euro-area industrial output expanded more than economists forecast in February, adding to signs that the economy is beginning to emerge from a recession. Factory production in the 17-nation economy rose 0.4% from January, when it dropped 0.6%, the European Union's statistics office in Luxembourg said today.
Most Asian stocks fell on Friday after recent gains. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, Japan and Taiwan fell by 0.06% to 1.31%. Indonesia's Jakarta composite rose 0.26%.
A report showed Singapore's economy unexpectedly contracted last quarter as companies grappled with a labor shortage and exports faltered amid an uneven global recovery.
Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could fall 34 points at the opening bell on Friday, 12 April 2013. US stocks on Thursday notched another day of record gains as some retailers reported improved sales, though tech stocks tumbled after a report showed a sharp decline in PC demand. For the S&P 500, it was the index's second straight day of record close. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average, it was the index's third straight record finish.
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, easing fears of a marked deterioration in labor market conditions after a surprise stumble in job growth in March. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 42,000 to a seasonally adjusted 346,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday.
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