Key benchmark indices extended fall and hit fresh intraday low in mid-morning trade after India's weather department, the India Meteorological Department, in its latest update forecast delay in the onset of the Southwest monsoon. At 11:21 IST, the barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex was down 115.55 points or 0.45% at 25,374.02. The Nifty 50 index was currently down 37.15 points or 0.48% at 7,777.75. The Sensex and the Nifty, both, hit one week low.
The Sensex lost 137.95 points or 0.54% at the day's low of 25,351.62 in mid-morning trade, its lowest level since 9 May 2016. The barometer index rose 117.35 points or 0.46% at the day's high of 25,606.92 at onset of the trading session. The Nifty fell 42.25 points or 0.54% at the day's low of 7,772.65 in mid-morning trade, its lowest level since 9 May 2016. The index rose 30.75 points or 0.39% at the day's high of 7,845.65 at onset of the trading session.
In overseas markets, most Asian stocks rose, shrugging off soft Chinese data released over the weekend. China's investment, factory output and retail sales all grew more slowly than expected in April, adding to doubts about whether the world's second-largest economy is stabilizing, data released on Saturday showed. Industrial output rose 6% year-over-year in April, compared with 6.8% growth in March, the National Bureau of Statistics said. Fixed-asset investment in urban areas grew by a weaker-than-expected 10.5% year-over-year in the January-to-April period, compared with an annual increase of 10.7% for the first three months of 2016. Retail sales grew by a less-than-expected 10.1% in April compared with a year earlier, slowing from March's 10.5% year-over-year rise. US stocks ended lower during the previous trading session on Friday, 13 May 2016 on a slump in consumer-focused companies.
Closer home, the market breadth indicating the overall health of the market turned negative from positive in mid-morning trade. On BSE, 1,128 shares declined and 981 shares rose. A total of 125 shares were unchanged. The BSE Mid-Cap index was currently off 0.08%. The BSE Small-Cap index was currently off 0.23%. The fall in both these indices was lower than the Sensex's decline in percentage terms.
PSU banks led decline among bank stocks. Among PSU bank stocks, State Bank of India (SBI) (down 5.15%), Punjab National Bank (down 4.26%), Canara Bank (down 5.63%), IDBI Bank (down 1.75%), Bank of India (down 3.56%) and Vijaya Bank (down 1.92%) dropped.
Bank of Baroda (BoB) lost 8.58% after the bank reported net loss of Rs 3230.14 crore in Q4 March 2016 compared with net profit of Rs 598.35 crore in Q4 March 2015. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 13 May 2016.
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BoB's total income rose 6.06% to Rs 12789.06 crore in Q4 March 2016 over Q4 March 2015. The bank's gross non-performing assets (NPA) stood at Rs 40521.04 crore as on 31 March 2016 compared with Rs 38934.11 crore as on 31 December 2015 and Rs 16261.45 crore as on 31 March 2015. The ratio of gross NPA to gross advances stood at 9.99% as on 31 March 2016 compared with 9.68% as on 31 December 2015 and 3.72% as on 31 March 2015. The ratio of net NPA to net advances stood at 5.06% as on 31 March 2016 compared with 5.67% as on 31 December 2015 and 1.89% as on 31 March 2015. BOB's provisions and contingencies jumped 277.31% to Rs 6857.66 crore in Q4 March 2016 over Q4 March 2015.
BOB's board of directors has not announced dividend for the financial year ended 31 March 2016 (FY 2016) as the bank reported net loss in FY 2016.
BoB said that its asset quality has stabilized and that the management expects the bank to return to black during the current financial year. The state-run bank posted a massive net loss of Rs 5395.55 crore in the year ended 31 March 2016 (FY 2016) as against a net profit of Rs 3398.43 crore in the year ended 31 March 2015 (FY 2015). The reason for the massive net loss was due to additional provisions that the state-run bank made with respect to certain loans in Q3 December 2015 and Q4 March 2016 as a part of an asset quality review (AQR) being carried out by the Reserve Bank of India for the banking sector as a whole. The provision coverage ratio (PCR) of the bank improved to 60.09% as on 31 March 2016 from 52.7% as on 31 December 2015. The total restructured standard assets of the bank dropped to Rs 13735 crore on 31 March 2016 from Rs 17135 crore as on 31 December 2015.
Union Bank of India (UBI) fell 6.12% after net profit fell 78.34% to Rs 96.12 crore on 5.32% decline in total income to Rs 8884.41 crore in Q4 March 2016 over Q4 March 2015. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 13 May 2016.
UBI's gross non-performing assets (NPA) stood at Rs 24170.89 crore as on 31 March 2016 compared with Rs 18495.16 crore as on 31 December 2015 and Rs 13030.87 crore as on 31 March 2015. The ratio of gross NPA to gross advances stood at 8.7% as on 31 March 2016 compared with 7.05% as on 31 December 2015 and 4.96% as on 31 March 2015. The ratio of net NPA to net advances stood at 5.25% as on 31 March 2016 compared with 4.07% as on 31 December 2015 and 2.71% as on 31 March 2015. UBI's provisions and contingencies rose 54.92% to Rs 1564.67 crore in Q4 March 2016 over Q4 March 2015. The bank's provision coverage ratio stood at 50.98% as on 31 March 2016.
Among private bank stocks, ICICI Bank (down 3.49%), Axis Bank (down 1.89%), IndusInd Bank (down 0.11%), Federal Bank (down 1.3%) and Kotak Mahindra Bank (down 0.21%) declined. Yes Bank (up 0.99%) and HDFC Bank (up 0.33%) rose.
Capital goods stocks fell. Bharat Heavy Electricals (Bhel) (down 1.3%), BEML (down 0.45%), Bharat Electronics (down 2.63%), Crompton Greaves (down 1.29%), L&T (down 0.25%), Siemens (down 1.37%) and Thermax (down 0.09%) declined. ABB India rose 0.44%.
Among macro data, the inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) for the month of April 2016 is scheduled to be released by the government today, 16 May 2016. WPI stood at negative 0.85% in March 2016 as compared to a reading of negative 0.91% in February 2016.
India's weather department, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Sunday, 15 May 2016 said that the statistical model forecast suggests that the monsoon onset over Kerala in this year is likely to be slightly delayed. The southwest monsoon is likely to set over Kerala on 7 June 2016 with a model error of 4 days. Earlier, IMD in its release of the long range forecast for the 2016 southwest monsoon season rainfall on 12 April 2016, said that the monsoon seasonal rainfall during the forthcoming monsoon is likely to be 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of 5%. The LPA of the seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm.
Meanwhile, the latest data showed that India's merchandise exports continued to register year-on-year decline in value terms at the beginning of the new financial year. Merchandise exports fell 6.74% at $20.57 billion in April 2016 over April 2015. Non-petroleum exports fell 3.68% at $18.58 billion in April 2016 over April 2015. The trend of falling exports is in tandem with other major world economies, according to a statement issued by the Ministry of Commerce & Industry. Imports fell 23.1% at $25.41 billion in April 2016 over April 2015. Oil imports fell 24.01% at $5.65 billion. Non-oil imports fell 22.83% at $19.76 billion. The trade deficit fell sharply to $4.84 billion in April 2016 from $10.99 billion in April 2015. The commerce ministry released the trade data for April 2016 after trading hours on Friday, 13 May 2016.
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