That brings up the third point. That the I-T notice was a carefully thought-out exercise and not the handiwork of an over-enthusiastic deputy commissioner is suggested by the revenue secretary's tweets that it was a routine exercise, of sending collection notices to all those whose dues are not stayed by any court - and that Vodafone can always appeal for a stay on the order, or approach the next higher authority. This makes a mockery of the arbitration process, and it is ironic that all this drama is happening at a time when almost the entire Narendra Modi Cabinet is busy telling foreign investors in Mumbai why they should change their perception of India as an investment destination. Apart from the absence of any immediate trigger, what makes the timing of the tax notice quite curious is that it came a day after the revelation of the I-T department's decision to extend the freeze on the sale of Cairn India shares owned by UK-based Cairn Energy. It couldn't have been a coincidence that the Cairn case is also under arbitration and both the companies are victims of a law in 2012 that allowed the government to tax transactions dating to 1962 in which two foreign firms exchange an Indian asset. The measure overrode a Supreme Court ruling in January that year.
As the global investor community is watching the Vodafone and Cairn cases closely, the government must act sensibly and quickly to avoid concerns that the country's regulations are becoming increasingly volatile and that foreign companies are becoming targets for a cash-strapped government that is desperate to raise tax revenue. The lingering confusion in the matter would only reinforce the impression that promises made by the highest authorities in the land to jam-packed auditoriums, are in fact empty. Once the prime minister and the finance minister have promised the end of retrospective taxation in public, the actions of their government must be in synergy. A public reversal of stand at the highest level on this demand, followed by a quick conclusion to the arbitration process, is imperative.