Worryingly, though the RBI had capped the banks’ indirect lending to agriculture at 4.5 per cent of their total farm sector lending in 2012, the impact of this measure is not yet visible. Neither has the proportion of loans going to farmers shot up by any appreciable extent, nor has the relevance of the informal sector for meeting the farmers’ financial needs diminished significantly. This is borne out by the All India Debt and Investment Survey of the National Sample Survey Office for 2013 (released in December 2014). It showed that nearly 44 per cent of the outstanding debt of rural households in 2013 was from the informal sector. Worse still, over 33 per cent of the total debt was owed to moneylenders.
One reason for this could be the expansion of the concept of farm lending through a series of changes in the definition of direct and indirect agricultural credit during the 2000s. It seems likely that commercial banks have been able to exploit the loopholes in the existing definition and guidelines to show a part of their loan disbursals from urban branches as being agricultural credit. This apprehension is fuelled by the fact that the expansion of commercial banks’ rural network has hardly kept pace with the increase in total farm credit. Most small and marginal farmers – or 80 per cent of all India’s farmers – still need to tap the informal sector to meet their consumption and investment needs. Besides, there are indications that more advances are going to the same farmers who repay their loans regularly, thanks to the government’s policy of giving an additional interest subvention of three per cent for timely repayment. All these are disturbing trends that need to be looked into and suitably addressed so that cheaper agricultural credit goes to the targeted beneficiaries and serves its intended purpose.