I often wonder what Margaret Thatcher's response would have been to the present fiscal conundrum in the European Union - to be or not to be austere. She was pragmatic above all, and the present situation differs from the one she faced when she had to tame a vicious inflationary spiral and bring down interest rates. It is certain she would have felt powerfully vindicated by having chosen not to yield fully to the European embrace, and to keep the British pound rather than join the euro.
She saw opportunity in the large oil wealth from the price hikes looking for a financial home, and encouraged the use of London as the place where funds could be parked with maturities as short as overnight, no questions asked. To this day the most widely used benchmark for floating rate loans is the London Inter Bank Offered Rate (Libor). The recently revealed manipulation of Libor by a few banks was certainly enabled by the financial deregulation she set in motion, which resulted in banks and financial intermediaries becoming as arrogant and unmindful of the public good as labour unions had been in her day. She did not foresee that, but then again, there were subsequent Labour governments that did not foresee it either. They could have rolled back some of the deregulation she introduced, but did not do so.
Taming inflation took a bit of time. She confronted powerful trade unions, who had built an adhesive and spiralling core into British inflation by constant work stoppages in search of wage hikes, chasing the price rise initially sparked by oil. Her victory over the unions was among the most artful of her many battles. By demanding that they take a ballot of union members before going on strike, she exposed the anti-democratic world of swagger and cigar inhabited by union bosses, and carried the public with her.
The mining unions were the fiercest hold-outs, and she met their challenge with her belief in markets and free trade. Coal and inexpensive manufactured goods were imported and public subsidies for inefficient British manufacturing units withdrawn.
When she took over the leadership of the Conservative Party, she was chosen for the clarity of her conviction about what needed to be done. When she set about her task, she famously inspired an open letter in 1981, signed by 364 economists in British academic institutions (including two prominent Indians). The letter condemned her fiscal austerity, and predicted that it would lead the British economy into terminal decline. She pressed on. The episode inspired a book, but economists would rather forget about the whole thing. It is said, although the story may just be a floater with no validity, that she framed the letter for her office wall, and enjoyed showing it to visitors.
The academic world had its revenge. An honorary doctorate from Oxford University was voted down. It is possible that this did not bother her. She believed in lawful protest, because she saw herself as an activist and protester against the economic policies of her predecessors. She was able in the end to hold up three fingers, for the number of times she had derived legitimacy at the polls to change those policies.
Her political stance on the international arena was not defensible. She opposed economic sanctions on the apartheid regime in South Africa (an initiative led by Rajiv Gandhi within the Commonwealth), and supported the Peron regime in Argentina, when she knew perfectly well that the atrocities they committed would not be permitted by her on British soil. When a death fatwa was pronounced on Salman Rushdie for Satanic Verses, she immediately gave him comprehensive police cover at public expense, despite the fact that she herself was lampooned as Margaret Torture in that very book.
She earned epithets of that kind and worse by her adamant stance that the care of the homeless and mentally ill was not the business of the state. In this, she was limited by her upbringing in small-town England, where such matters were handled by the church and private charities. The horrific spectacle of wandering poor on the streets of London ended only in the 1990s, as the prosperity she enabled and rising tax revenue made it possible for successor governments to reactivate the old shelter homes.
Going into the next general elections, we in India need political leaders who can clearly articulate their solutions to the economic challenges we face. We require pre-poll policy commitments, not pre-poll party alliances. The electorate need to know the choices before them.
The writer is a retired professor of economics