Don’t miss the latest developments in business and finance.

Crony capitalism perception a challenge, says Montek

Says 7-8% growth not possible if pending policies implemented only after new govt assumes office

Montek Singh Ahluwalia
Press Trust Of India New York
Last Updated : Apr 21 2014 | 8:44 AM IST
The biggest challenge on the policy front is fighting against a perception that a small number of big corporations do cozy deals with the government, Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahulwalia has said.

He also said the new government after elections will get considerable time during which whatever initiatives it wants to take will not be questioned.

"But probably six-eight months down the line, the honeymoon period will be over and all the issues will come up again," he warned. Adding, "a broad continuation" of policies would give better results, as there was a surprising amount of overlap in what the two major political parties wanted.

More From This Section

"Along with the revolution of rising expectations, there is a global distrust of governments all over the world. We suffer from that too," Ahluwalia said, addressing an India business conference at the Columbia Business School here.

His comments come in the backdrop of allegations of crony capitalism flying thick and fast. Aam Aadmi Party convenor Arvind Kejriwal had, during his 49-day tenure as the Delhi chief minister, ordered a Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) audit of power distribution companies and initiated action against Reliance Industries and Petroleum Minister Veerappa Moily in February, charging them with complicity in fixing gas prices.

Ahluwalia said "messages" coming out from all major political parties ahead of and during the national elections was that there was keenness to restore investor confidence, no rollback of policies and confidence that India can do well in a global integrated economy.

"I personally think those will be the policies that will be put in place," he said. "If you look at the manifestos of the two major parties, there is a surprising amount of overlap in what they want. Everybody seems to want growth, wants to be inclusive, (realise that) infrastructure is important and that we need to do more in education."

He said while any new government would make improvements and alterations in political and economic policies, "a broad continuation of these policies will actually produce a better results"

Ahluwalia said a seven-eight per cent growth would not be impossible if pending policies are implemented by the new government after the elections. "The growth rate has bottomed out and I do think there will be an upturn. What we are seeing at the moment is a slowing down of India's growth rate at about five per cent for the last two years and a general feeling that the growth rate is going to pick up in the year ahead," e said on last Friday.

Appearing on a video link, Ahluwalia told faculty, students and entrepreneurs attending the day-long conference that in the year ahead both the global and the Indian economy "is actually going to look a lot better simply because we know the global economy has turned around. On the whole people think that the global economy will be reasonably well managed."

"On the Indian side, after the elections I expect to see a substantial reduction of tail-risk assessment," he said, adding there was a 'general agreement' that growth in India will show an upturn next year.

"The new government will get a significant period when whatever initiatives it wants to take will not be questioned. But probably six-eight months down the line the honeymoon period will be over and all the issues will come up again. In these months, if a large number of things that are pending are got done, we will have produced an environment in which gradually getting back to some kind of growth between seven-eight per cent would not be impossible," he said.

Ahluwalia also said India is not nearly on the medium and long-term growth path of nine per cent growth that it had envisaged for itself. Looking at the overall slowdown in global economy, India had to scale down its expectation, he added.

He noted that there are a number of policies in the pipeline for which there is enough political support but the fact that they are being delayed is "unfortunate". He cited the Goods and Services Tax, which is "extremely important" tax reform, and hoped that the new government will take steps to implement it.

He said one of the unwritten stories about India is the "extraordinary degree of creativity" dispersed in very large number of companies across the country. The widespread opportunity in India to be innovative will make a difference between India getting back from the 5 per cent growth of the last couple of years to hopefully seven per cent.

He expressed hope that the new government would also give "high priority" to ease of doing business in the country.

"We are not asking the question how we can it easier for foreigners to do business (in India). (We are) asking how can we make it easier for any investor to do business," he said, adding that India is not engaging in top down planning.

Also Read

First Published: Apr 21 2014 | 12:46 AM IST

Next Story