The experts monitoring sanctions against the Taliban said in a report to the UN Security Council, obtained yesterday by The Associated Press, that Afghan and international officials believe these al-Qaeda affiliated groups are unlikely to leave Afghanistan in the near future, which would keep them in the country as the U.S. Withdraws most of its troops.
Fighters from several al-Qaeda linked groups in Pakistan "are regularly encountered by the Afghan forces in eastern and to a lesser extent in southern Afghanistan," the experts said. "In northern Afghanistan, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan continues to gather strength among local Afghans of Uzbek origin and continues to operate in several provinces."
The report, which was circulated on the eve of Afghanistan's presidential runoff election, said "the single greatest strategic failure for the Taliban" was its inability to disrupt the first round of presidential elections on April 5. Nonetheless, it said Taliban fighters remain a threat, developing more sophisticated explosive devices such as a suicide vest camouflaged as a leather jacket that would be practically undetectable by metal detectors.
It said Afghan and international officials and observers agree that key members of the Taliban leadership "remain unpersuaded that the Afghan government security forces will continue to perform well after 2014," when the US will only have an advisory force of 9,800 troops in the country to finish training and equipping Afghan security forces.