The study predicts that Larsen B Ice Shelf measured 11,512.5 square kilometres in January 1995. It went down to 6,664.04 square kilometres in February 2002 after the major disintegration, and a month later Larsen B was down to 3,462.81 square kilometres.
At present the Larsen B remnant is about 1,600.61 square kilometres, less than half the size of Rhode Island, the smallest US state.
The NASA study found the remnant of the 10,000-year-old Larsen B Ice Shelf is flowing faster, becoming increasingly fragmented and developing large cracks. Two of its tributary glaciers also are flowing faster and thinning rapidly.
A team led by Ala Khazendar of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, found evidence of the ice shelf flowing faster and becoming more fragmented. The flow is creating large cracks in the ice shelf.
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"These are warning signs that the remnant is disintegrating," Khazendar said.
"Although it's fascinating scientifically to have a front-row seat to watch the ice shelf becoming unstable and breaking up, it's bad news for our planet."
The collapse of the Larsen B Ice Shelf seems to have been caused by a series of warm summers on the Antarctic Peninsula, which happen during what in the Northern Hemisphere are winter months. Those trends built up to a particularly warm summer in 2002, according to NASA.
NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory glaciologist Eric Rignot, who co-authored the paper, said the research gives insight into how ice shelves closer to the South Pole will react with the warming climate.
"What is really surprising about Larsen B is how quickly the changes are taking place," Khazendar said. "Change has been relentless."
First quarter of 2015 the warmest on record.