Plants designed to use domestic coal may require 527 million tonnes of coal while those using imported coal need an estimated 40 million tonnes, according to the latest Central Electricity Authority figures.
The total coal available from domestic sources is likely to be 473 million tonnes, leaving a shortfall of 54 million tonnes.
In the previous financial year, India consumed 498.3 million tonnes of coal against a target of 522 million tonnes, according to provisional figures from the CEA, the power sector planning body.
State-run Coal India may produce 405 million tonnes of the dry fuel, followed by Singareni Collieries Company Ltd, which will supply 35 million tonnes.
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The government has set a target of generating 1,023 billion units of electricity in this financial year.
The CEA estimates 859 billion units will be generated by thermal power projects, of which 784 billion units will come from coal-based plants and the remaining 75 billion from fuels such as lignite, naphtha, diesel and natural gas.
Thermal power's contribution in the previous financial year was 792 billion units.