After enacting a bankruptcy code for time-bound settlement of insolvency cases in non-financial firms, the finance ministry last month released a draft bill to set up a resolution corporation to address similar issues among financial firms.
India currently lacks a comprehensive policy framework to deal with the failure of financial institutions. Resolution powers for the financial sector are limited and scattered across several regulatory bodies, Fitch said.
The lack of a specified timeline suggests its passage is not an immediate priority, and policymakers are likely to be wary of any changes that might make it more difficult for banks to attract funding, it said.
The draft bill aims to create an independent Financial Resolution and Deposit Insurance Corporation (FRDIC) with responsibility for a wide range of financial institutions.
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Fitch said the option to bail-in senior creditors is
likely to be particularly contentious. It would see senior creditors effectively ranking below depositors, instead of pari passu, instead of on equal footing.
"This distinction would reduce the moral hazard that has developed around the assumption that government support will protect creditors from losses at different levels of the capital structure," it said.
However, the risk of senior debt bail-ins could have market access and pricing implications for banks' future bond issuance at a time when their financial positions are already fragile.
Appetite for bank Additional Tier-1 capital instruments could also be affected to the extent that investors view the government as becoming more willing to allow them to take losses. Banks already face a significant challenge in making up large capital shortfalls over the next couple of years, it said.
Bail-ins and liquidation will be a last resort, with the FRDIC only becoming involved at a late stage, after efforts to revive the institution had not worked as planned.
Fitch said this suggests there will be a strong likelihood that the FRDIC would only be willing to apply to bail-ins to small, private, non-systemic banks.