Trump's blueprint for the 2018 budget year comes out Tuesday. It includes a wave of cuts to benefit programs such as Medicaid, federal employee pensions, welfare benefits and farm subsidies.
All told, according to people familiar with the plan, Trump's budget includes USD 1.7 trillion over 10 years in cuts from such so-called mandatory programs. That includes cuts to pensions for federal workers and higher contributions toward those pension benefits, as well as cuts to refundable tax credits paid to the working poor. People familiar with the plan were not authorized to discuss it by name and requested anonymity.
The food stamp cuts are several times larger than those attempted by House Republicans a few years back and comprise the bulk of a 10-year, USD 274 billion proposal that's labeled as welfare reform.
The fleshed-out proposal follows up on an unpopular partial release in March that targeted the budgets of domestic agencies and foreign aid for cuts averaging 10 per cent and made lawmakers in both parties recoil.
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"We think it's wrongheaded," said Rep Mike Conaway, chairman of the House Agriculture Committee, when asked about looming cuts to farm programs. "Production agriculture is in the worst slump since the depression 50 per cent drop in the net income for producers. They need this safety net," said Conaway, R-Texas.
Trump's budget plan promises to balance the federal ledger by the end of a 10-year window, even while exempting Social Security and Medicare retirement benefits from cuts. To achieve balance, the plan by White House budget director Mick Mulvaney relies on optimistic estimates of economic growth, and the surge in revenues that would result, while abandoning Trump's promise of a "massive tax cut."
Trump is also targeting the Medicaid health program that provides care to the poor and disabled, and nursing home care to millions of older people who could not otherwise afford it.
The House had a bitter debate on health care before a razor-thin 217-213 passage in early May of a GOP health bill that included more than USD 800 billion in Medicaid cuts over the coming decade.
"I would think that the health care bill is our best policy statement on Medicaid going forward," said Rep Greg Walden, R-Ore, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, which has jurisdiction over the program.
Details on Trump's budget will not be publicly released until Tuesday, but Mulvaney has briefed Republicans about what's coming and his staff has provided targeted leaks to the media.
A full budget submission by the administration to Congress is months overdue and follows the release two months ago of an outline for the discretionary portion of the budget, covering defense, education, foreign aid, housing and environmental programs, among others. Their budgets pass each year through annual appropriations bills.
Trump's GOP allies rejected such cuts when wrapping up long-overdue legislation for the current budget year, which ends Sept 30. There's little sign they will have a change of heart now, especially with Trump's administration in turmoil and his poll ratings at historic lows.
Republicans controlling Congress have delayed action on their companion budget measure, waiting for Trump to go first.
This year's budget debate, Republicans hope, would grease the way for a major overhaul of the loophole-cluttered tax system. But House conservatives also want to embark on a round of cuts to benefit programs and are open to Trump's suggestions for cuts to mandatory programs such as federal employee pensions.
Presidential budgets are mere suggestions, and the White House has discretion to assume higher economic growth rates of up to 3 per cent or so under Trump's agenda of tax changes, loosened regulations and infrastructure spending.
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