"It's (conclusion of India-EU free trade pact, also known as BTIA) not likely to happen in the next three to four years," the European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE) director Fredrik Erixon has said.
Echoing similar views, a European Union Parliament member said, "It all depends on whether the Indian Parliament gets to pass the Insurance Bill in the Winter Session. Otherwise, it could take another three years before the two get another opportunity to conclude a deal as both sides face elections next year."
The Bill is unlikely to be approved by Parliament due to lack of consensus among political parties.
The India-EU bilateral trade talk, formally known as the Broad-based Trade and Investment Agreement (BTIA), is stuck as the EU is not satisfied with India's offers in insurance, government purchases and market access for automobiles and wines and spirits.
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Both India and the 28-nation bloc agree that the BTIA will give a major fillip to the two-way trade as well as bolster the bilateral strategic partnership.
Launched in June 2007, the negotiations for the proposed BTIA between India and the EU has witnessed many hurdles.
The EU side has been pressing for hiking FDI cap to 49 per cent in the insurance sector. India has expressed its inability to do so without an approval from Parliament.
Besides demanding significant duty cuts in automobiles, EU is also demanding for tax reduction in wines and spirits and dairy products and a stronger intellectual property regime.
It also wants liberalised visa norms for its professionals and market access in services and pharmaceuticals sector.
Finance Minister P Chidambaram had met Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leaders Sushma Swaraj and Arun Jaitley last week to seek support for the Insurance Bill.