India's exports may dip 13% to $270 bn in 2015-16

Exports are expected to fall due to global demand slowdown and fall in crude oil prices

India's exports are expected to decline about 13% to $270 billion in the current financial year due to global demand slowdown and fall in crude oil prices, a top official said today.

The country's merchandise exports had aggregated $310.5 billion last fiscal.

According to an official, Commerce Secretary Rita Teaotia in her presentation during an interaction with the industry chambers including CII and Ficci stated that it would be difficult for India's exports to exceed $270 billion.

In 2008-09, the country's outbound shipments were less than $270 billion, according to exporters body Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO). It was around $210 billion in 2008-09.

Teaotia has also stated that imports during the fiscal would stand around $390 billion. So the trade deficit would aggregate at $120-125 billion in 2015-16.

During April-November this fiscal, exports declined by 18.46% to $174.3 billion. Imports were $261.8 billion and trade deficit was $87.5 billion.

The declining exports would have implications for the job market.

The numbers assume significance as recently the government had said that there is "no crisis" in India on the export front and there is "no need for alarm".

"If exports of petroleum products are excluded, then the decline in exports is only 9.6% in dollars," the ministry had said.

During the meeting, which was chaired by Commerce and Industry Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, chambers suggested ways to boost manufacturing, exports and overall economic growth.

The Commerce Secretary had also apprised the chambers about the outcome of the recently WTO's Nairobi meeting.