Rising exports orders from UAE, the UK, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bangladesh and other countries is also expected to put pressure on availability of this summer fruit for domestic consumers, it added.
"Mango production across India, in all likelihood, will remain about 15-20 per cent lower than last year's level of 18 million tonnes (MT) and even the exports are likely to remain muted this year," Assocham Secretary General D S Rawats said while releasing the chamber's study.
There could be upward spiralling of prices as mango arrivals are likely to hold up from these five states, which together account for two-third of India's total mango production, it added.
The study observed that the increase in mango exports -- which has grown by over 27 per cent in the last three years to Rs 267 crore in 2012-13 from Rs 164 crore in 2010-11 -- has also impacted domestic supplies thereby leading to price rise.
Andhra Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh together account for about half of the total mango production in India. Of over 1,300 varieties of mangoes grown across the world, India alone cultivates over 1,000 varieties of the fruit.