Monsoon forecasting has become more reliable: Govt

Monsoon forecasting has become more "reliable" with average error of the forecast and actual rainfall standing at 5.92 per cent for the Long Period Average (LPA) from 2003-2015 as compared to 7.94 per cent from 1990 to 2003, the government said today.
In a written response to a question in Rajya Sabha, Y C Chowdary, Minister of State for Earth Sciences, said this indicates that monsoon forecast has become more "reliable".
"The average absolute error (difference between forecast and actual rainfall during the last 13 years (2003-2015) was 5.92 per cent of the LPA as compared to the average absolute error of 7.94 per cent of the LPA during the 13 years (1990- 2002) just prior to that period.

"This indicates that the forecast has become more reliable in the last few years," Chowdary said.