The upbeat forecast in the Middle East Solar Industry Association's (MESIA) annual Middle East Solar Outlook, concluded that 2016 will be characterised by increasingly lower levelised costs of solar electricity, as the region's solar energy market will be spurred on, rather than slowed down, by low oil and gas prices.
The MESIA represents over 150 companies including investors, installers, manufacturers, and solar professional service providers.
Said Imitiaz Mahtab, MESIA President.
Noting that solar is cost competitive on an unsubsidised basis, the report points to the economic impact of low hydrocarbon prices on net energy exporting nations, energy market reforms and subsidy adjustments, rising electricity prices, and growing demand for desalination and cooling, as key drivers of the region's energy transition.
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"On the contrary, as countries in the region start to adjust their hydrocarbon subsidies, correct their electricity pricing strategies and seek to reduce domestic consumption of oil and gas, we expect solar to stand out as the single most attractive option for power generation," he added.
Noting that seasonal increases in electricity consumption - primarily as a result of increased air conditioning usage - are a significant challenge in the region, MESIA suggests that solar PV can provide a competitive alternative to conventional peak load generation assets.