Analysts say Sinn Fein could win both parliamentary seats being filled in two by-elections tomorrow, putting more pressure on the two-party government of Prime Minister Enda Kenny with a general election looming by 2016, the 100th anniversary of Dublin's Easter Rising against British rule.
Today's findings in the Irish Times newspaper put Kenny's center-right Fine Gael party at 24 per cent voter support, the same as the previous poll in May.
The combination of government unpopularity amid higher taxes and crippling household debts, versus Sinn Fein's left-wing appeal to shift tax burdens to Ireland's richest citizens, could continue to 2016, when the government plans to commemorate the Easter rebellion and Sinn Fein-friendly nationalist sentiments could be stoked further.
Today's published poll by survey firm Ipsos MRBI had an error margin of 3 percentage points.
Fine Gael and Fianna Fail trace their origins to a split in the original Sinn Fein movement that backed the 1916 Rising and 1919-21 war of independence from Britain.
Until the past decade, Sinn Fein struggled to win elections in the Republic of Ireland because of its links to Provisional IRA bloodshed.
But the party has scored steady gains in the south since the Provisionals renounced violence in 2005 and Sinn Fein formed a Northern Ireland unity government in 2007 alongside British Protestant leaders there.
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