These consumers fall behind on credit cards or hospital bills. Their mortgages, auto loans or student debt pile up, unpaid. Even past-due gym membership fees or cellphone contracts can end up with a collection agency, potentially hurting credit scores and job prospects, said Caroline Ratcliffe, a senior fellow at the Washington-based think tank.
"Roughly, every third person you pass on the street is going to have debt in collections," Ratcliffe said. "It can tip employers' hiring decisions, or whether or not you get that apartment."
As a share of people's income, credit card debt has reached its lowest level in more than a decade, according to the American Bankers Association. People increasingly pay off balances each month. Just 2.44 per cent of card accounts are overdue by 30 days or more, versus the 15-year average of 3.82 per cent.
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All of this has reshaped the economy. The collections industry employs 140,000 workers who recover USD 50 billion each year, according to a separate study published this year by the Fed's Philadelphia bank branch.
The delinquent debt is overwhelmingly concentrated in Southern and Western states. Texas cities have a large share of their populations being reported to collection agencies: Dallas (44.3 per cent); El Paso (44.4 per cent), Houston (43.7 per cent), McAllen (51.7 per cent) and San Antonio (44.5 per cent).
Other cities have populations that have largely managed to repay their bills on time. Just 20.1 per cent of Minneapolis residents have debts in collection. Boston, Honolulu and San Jose, California, are similarly low.
Only about 20 per cent of Americans with credit records have any debt at all. Yet high debt levels don't always lead to more delinquencies, since the debt largely comes from mortgages.