Lower tax revenue receipts are already a area of concern for the state government which is already reeling under a massive debt burden.
With the state government seeking to shun the tag of "bankrupt" state for which the current regime blamed the opposition parties as "false propaganda", the FM will also have to think "out of the box" on how to reduce state's debt burden which is set to reach Rs 1.25 lakh crore in 2015-16.
With Punjab facing assembly polls in 2017, the Akali government is unlikely to put any financial burden on people by proposing new taxes in the last budget.
"The most important issue for Punjab Finance Minister in upcoming state budget will be to focus on resource mobilisation which is essential for the state to meet its expenditure," R S Ghuman, Professor, Nehru SAIL Chair, Centre for Research in Rural and Industrial Development (CRRID), said today.
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"Growing debt, salary, pension and interest bill is a serious problem for the government to handle and it is a tough task lying ahead for the Finance Minister to deal with it given the low growth in revenue receipts," he said.
"But I do not think, the FM will go for imposing any taxes in the wake of assembly elections," said Ghuman.
Salary, wages, pension and interest payment on borrowings are projected to consume over 75 per cent of state's total revenue receipts of Rs 46,229 crore, with revenue deficit estimated at Rs 6,393 crore for 2015-16.
Significantly, the state is also unlikely to achieve its tax revenue collection target of Rs 29,351 crore for 2015-16, with state government blaming the low revenue mobilisation in the wake of economic slowdown, lower VAT collection from fuel and lesser mobilisation from property registration.
"Agriculture is in deep crisis as farmers are committing suicides. There is a need for coming out with a roadmap backed by policy mechanism to address this most pressing issue," Ghuman, an economist, said.