Hundreds of millions of people are infected with dengue each year, with some children dying in severe cases, researchers said.
"While climate change generally poses a major threat to humanity, it also may reduce the incidence of dengue in some areas," said David Harley, a professor at the Australian National University.
The findings are also relevant to other mosquito-borne viruses including Zika because the mosquitoes that carry dengue also transmit the Zika virus, researchers said.
Previous projections have suggested that climate change will increase transmission of mosquito-borne diseases globally.
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"Our work, using a mathematical model based on Queensland conditions, suggests that dengue transmission might decrease with greater warming," said Harley.
However, the research findings do not suggest authorities should be complacent about climate change's effect on people's health, he said.
"Generally, health and other impacts of climate warming will be negative in Australia and elsewhere in the world," he added.