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Brent hits five-year low below $66 on oversupply worries

Brent has fallen more than 40 percent since June, with losses growing in late November after OPEC decided not to cut its output target

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Reuters Beijing
Last Updated : Dec 09 2014 | 2:14 PM IST

 Benchmark Brent crude slipped again on Tuesday to its lowest in five years, dropping below $66 a barrel after plunging more than 4 percent the day before on worries of a swelling supply glut.

Oil prices are likely to remain around $65 a barrel for the next six or seven months, the chief of Kuwait's national oil company said on Monday, in the latest sign that Gulf producers are ready to ride out plunging prices.

Industry sources said on Tuesday top oil producer Saudi Arabia will keep supplies at full contracted volumes for Asian term buyers in January.

"Short term sentiment is to remain weak for crude oil, given the oversupply expected in 2015," ANZ analysts said in a note.

Brent crude for January delivery hit an intraday low of $65.33 on Tuesday, its lowest since September 2009. It was trading down 83 cents at $65.36 by 0730 GMT.

"Although talks of oil reaching its bottom are more rampant, we fail to see a reversal coming without stronger fundamentals," said Daniel Ang of Phillip Futures in a note, adding that Brent crude for February delivery could fall as low as $60.

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Norwegian brokerage DNB Markets cut its outlook for Brent crude by $10 for 2015 and by $5 for 2016 on Tuesday, noting that Brent prices in the $50s is a possibility.

Brent dropped $2.88 on Monday, to settle at $66.19 a barrel, its third-largest one-day loss this year.

Brent has fallen more than 40 percent since June, with losses growing in late November after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) decided not to cut its output target.

Since then, Saudi Arabia has cut monthly prices for the crude it sells the United States and Asia, a move that analysts say shows it is stepping up its battle for market share.

U.S. crude fell 55 cents to $62.50 a barrel on Tuesday, after briefly hitting $62.25, its lowest since July 2009. It dropped 4.2 percent, or $2.79, to end Monday at $63.05.

It remains to be seen when the price slump will slow the U.S. shale boom. New U.S. projections show production from the big three U.S. shale plays should carry on growing at more than 100,000 barrels per day into January.

However, many companies are already starting to make deep cuts to spending for next year.

 

(Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Anupama Dwivedi)

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First Published: Dec 09 2014 | 2:00 PM IST

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