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Global Markets: Stocks reverse losses, U.S. dollar climbs in fragile rebound

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Reuters LONDON, Jan 23
Last Updated : Jan 23 2019 | 6:55 PM IST

By Josephine Mason

LONDON, Jan 23 (Reuters) - Global markets recovered from earlier losses on Wednesday as investors made a cautious return to riskier assets, with the dollar rising and U.S. futures higher though worries about corporate and economic growth lingered.

Trading was choppy as hopes of more stimulus measures from China to shore up its economy offset worries over progress between Washington and Beijing in resolving their trade spat.

The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was back in positive territory around midday in London.

U.S. futures ESc1, 1YMc1, NQc1 pointed to a positive start for Wall Street after the heaviest losses in nearly three weeks after disappointing earnings.

Pan-European stocks .STOXX were up 0.4 percent at 1254 GMT.

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The main driver of the earlier risk-off tone was a Financial Times report that Washington had rejected an offer from Beijing for preparatory trade talks this week ahead of high-level negotiations scheduled for next week.

"Even though the Trump administration later denied the report, the damage had been done to sentiment," said Edward Park, deputy chief investment officer at Brooks MacDonald.

A thawing in U.S.-China trade tensions has fuelled a rally in stocks through much of January, also supported by a more dovish-sounding Federal Reserve.

A fresh batch of weak corporate updates from European companies including luxury goods brand Burberry and Ingenico knocked confidence about fourth-quarter earnings.

"If earnings come in reasonably around expectations, the reality is equities are attractively valued across global regions," said James Bateman, chief investment officer of multi asset at Fidelity International.

"If they disappoint consistently there is going to be a real reappraisal of fair value."

In another sign that risk appetite had marginally improved, the dollar held near a three-week high after the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged as expected, boosting risk appetite and sending the yen lower.

Against a basket of other currencies, the dollar was trading at 96.32, near the 96.484 hit in the previous session.

Most euro zone bond yields fell after the Bank of Japan set the tone for further easing by warning of rising risks to its economy ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.

Markets expect the ECB to acknowledge growing threats to the euro zone economy.

ROUGH YEAR AHEAD?

Justin Onuekwusi, a fund manager at Legal & General said central banks' unwinding of stimulus, China's slowdown, the broader impact of trade wars and populist rhetoric from politicians were keeping markets on edge.

"All these issues have an impact ....Every time you have an increase in rhetoric, markets react. It feels like there is a greater political risk premium.

"The biggest near-term risk is that as you see markets fall, confidence drops and you get people not spending which becomes self-perpetuating. The near-term probability of that has increased."

Recent data has pointed to a rough year ahead for the world economy.

U.S. home sales tumbled 6.4 percent in December to their lowest in three years. Compared with a year earlier, they were down more than 10 percent for the first time since 2011.

House price increases slowed sharply, adding to evidence of a further loss of momentum in the housing market.

Canadian factory sales and wholesale trade both slumped more than expected in November, while in Germany a survey by the ZEW research institute showed morale among German investors improved slightly in January, but their assessment of the economy's current condition deteriorated to a four-year low.

Japan's exports and imports also fell short of market expectations, with exports posting their biggest fall in more than two years.

In commodities, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 was up 0.9 percent at $53.5 per barrel after shedding 1.9 percent the previous day.

((Additional reporting by Sujata Rao and Helen Reid in LONDON and Hideyuki Sano and Shinichi Saoshiro in TOKYO; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle and John Stonestreet))

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

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First Published: Jan 23 2019 | 6:48 PM IST

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