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Gold heads for first monthly loss this year

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Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Jun 30 2017 | 5:43 PM IST

By Jan Harvey

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold eased on Friday to stay on track for its first monthly loss this year, as hints from leading central banks that the era of easy money may be coming to a close pushed bond yields higher.

The metal is highly sensitive to rising yields, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing bullion.

Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,243.40 an ounce at 1145 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for August delivery were $2.40 an ounce lower at $1,243.40.

Spot prices have fallen nearly 2 percent so far in June, and are down 0.4 percent on a quarterly basis. After a strong performance in the first quarter, they are still set to end the first half of the year up 8 percent.

Comments from the euro zone, British and Canadian central banks this week indicated that quantitative easing programmes put in place in the wake of the financial crisis may be being wound up, leading to a gradual normalisation of interest rates.

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That comes in the wake of the Federal Reserve's decision to hike U.S. interest rates at its June meeting, and its indication that it will press ahead with plans to shrink its $4.5 trillion in bond holdings.

"We still have two rate hikes factored in for the Fed in the second half of the year, and we expect some reduction of the balance sheet," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said.

"At the same time, in the UK and Europe, although policy will remain loose for some time, it will start to turn the other way," she added. "So all in all, it doesn't bode so well for gold prices."

Germany's benchmark 10-year bond yield was heading for its biggest weekly jump since late 2015, topping a week in which yields across the euro zone have soared as investors brace for an end to the era of ultra-easy monetary policy.

On the other side of the Atlantic, benchmark U.S. Treasury yields hit six-week highs on Thursday.

Rising yields helped offset the positive impact of a weaker dollar on gold. The U.S. currency was on course for its worst quarter in seven years, recovering only marginally against major peers after a week of hawkish central bank rhetoric.

"The U.S. dollar has softened, though this does not appear to have had the positive effect on price as we might have hoped," MKS said in a note.

Among other precious metals, silver was down 0.5 percent at $16.55 an ounce. Silver has seen the biggest fall among major precious metals this quarter, down 9 percent, while palladium is the best performer, up 5.6 percent.

Palladium was down 0.6 percent at $842.23 an ounce on Friday, while platinum was up 0.3 percent at $922.90.

(Reporting by Jan Harvey; additional reporting by Vijaykumar Vedala and Nithin Prasad in Bengaluru; editing by Mark Potter and Jason Neely)

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First Published: Jun 30 2017 | 5:28 PM IST

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