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Gold heads lower ahead of Trump inauguration

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Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Jan 20 2017 | 5:08 PM IST

By Eric Onstad

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold prices dipped on Friday as investors expect U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to calm markets with a return to conciliatory language in his inaugural address.

If Trump repeats his reassuring tone in November immediately after the election, there will be scant need for the safe haven aspects of gold, analysts said.

"On the whole we'd expect an appropriately presidential tone to be struck and that the dollar will gain and that bullion will once again be under pressure along with the rest of the precious metals complex," said Jonathan Butler, commodities analyst at Mitsubishi in London.

"However, if we get any of the campaign trail divisive rhetoric, that's probably going to sink that reflationary trade and boost gold as a safe haven."

Trump is due to take the oath of office at 1700 GMT, after the close of European markets.

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Spot gold was down 0.5 percent at $1,199.09 per ounce by 1100 GMT, while U.S. gold futures fell 0.2 percent to $1,199.50.

"The incoming U.S. administration is still a relatively unknown factor, certainly in comparison to other incoming administrations in recent decades," HSBC analyst James Steel said in a note.

Also weighing on gold was a firmer dollar, which makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, added 0.3 percent to 101.40. [USD/]

Better-than-expected U.S. jobs, housing and factory data reinforced the view that the U.S. economy is sufficiently robust to warrant interest rate rises.

Gold is highly-sensitive to rising rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion, while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

The metal has risen more than 7 percent since dropping to its lowest in more than 10-1/2 months in December, but has failed to break above a key level in recent days."Gold has dropped back from quite a significant technical level around $1,220, a critical retracement last year's high to low move. I would say from here, the risks are skewed to the downside in the short term," Butler added.

In other precious metals, silver shed 0.8 percent to $16.87 an ounce.

Platinum slipped 0.5 percent to $954.40 an ounce after touching a low of $943.75 in the previous session, its worst since Jan. 5.

Palladium edged down 0.1 percent to $752.45 an ounce.

(Additional reporting by Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru, editing by David Evans)

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First Published: Jan 20 2017 | 4:56 PM IST

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