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Gold hits 4-month high as dollar index falls to 3-year low

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Reuters CALGARY, Alberta
Last Updated : Jan 16 2018 | 6:35 PM IST

By Nia Williams

CALGARY, Alberta (Reuters) - Gold prices hit a four-month peak on Monday as the U.S. dollar index slumped to its lowest in three years but some analysts said the greenback's slide could be short-lived as it was not driven by fundamentals.

Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,339.66 an ounce by 1826 GMT after touching its strongest since Sept. 8 at $1,344.44. The precious metal rose for a fifth straight week last week, gaining 1.4 percent.

U.S. gold futures were up 0.4 percent at $1,340.50 an ounce.

"We have been seeing a steady decline in the dollar, not so much because the United States is seeing weakness but because the European Central Bank could very well withdraw monetary accommodation later in the year," said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities in Toronto.

The euro rose on Monday after an ECB official said the central bank could end its bond purchase scheme after September.

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Melek said some investors were also looking to diversify exposure to equity markets, which have been hitting new record highs in recent weeks.

The dollar index was down 0.67 percent at 90.367, having reached its weakest since January 2015 at 90.279 in early trade.

A weaker U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated assets such as gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, while higher rates could dent demand for non-interest-paying gold.

"The weakness in the dollar is not justified by fundamentals," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said, adding the U.S. Federal Reserve was widely expected to raise interest rates, which would favour a stronger dollar, while the European Central Bank should keep rates on hold.

Adding a touch of bullishness to gold was data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday, which showed hedge funds and money managers raised their net long positions in COMEX gold and silver in the week to Jan. 9.

Iran's president said on Sunday the United States had failed to undermine a nuclear deal between Tehran and major powers, and hailed the accord as a "long-lasting victory" for Iran, state television reported.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday delivered an ultimatum to European signatories of the deal to fix the "terrible flaws" in the agreement with Iran, or the United States would pull out.

Palladium was up 0.32 percent at $1,127.00 on Monday, after hitting a record high of $1,138.

The metal has seen a sustained rally from high demand in the auto industry amid a supply deficit, analysts said, adding that the sharp price increase was largely overdone.

Spot silver rose 0.57 percent to $17.35 an ounce, after touching a near three-month high at $17.42.

Platinum was up 0.2 percent at $995.50, after touching its highest since Sept. 11 at $1,001.40.

(Additional reporting by Zandi Shabalala in London, Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru and Julie Gordon in Calgary; Editing by Edmund Blair and Chizu Nomiyama)

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First Published: Jan 16 2018 | 6:24 PM IST

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