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Japan machinery orders rise, ease concerns about economy

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Reuters TOKYO
Last Updated : Oct 09 2014 | 6:10 AM IST

By Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's leading gauge of capital spending rose for a third straight month in August, in a sign firms are investing their profits in plants and equipment that could bolster growth in the world's third-largest economy.

The 4.7 percent monthly gain in core machinery orders in August will help ease concerns the economy is losing traction even as the Bank of Japan maintains ultra-loose monetary policy and the government stands ready to deploy fresh fiscal stimulus.

A sales tax hike that went into effect in April triggered the deepest economic slump in the April-June quarter since the 2008-09 global financial crisis.

The data followed a shocking slump in August factory output and other soft indicators including exports and household spending, complicating the government's decision by the year-end on whether to proceed with a second sales tax hike next year.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is due to make a decision on the sales tax increase in December, looking at economic indicators in July-September for clues on whether the economy is strong enough to withstand the impact from the higher levy.

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The government plans to increase the sales tax rate to 10 percent in October 2015, after having raised it to 8 percent from 5 percent in April.

Cabinet Office data showed core machinery orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as a key gauge of capital spending in six to nine months, rose 4.7 percent in August from the prior month, much faster than a 0.9 percent gain expected by analysts.

"Machinery orders show a moderate pick-up move," the Cabinet Office said, upgrading their assessment. Previously, machinery orders were described as seesawing.

The rise followed monthly gains of 3.5 percent in July and 8.8 percent in June, after a record 19.5 percent drop in May.

Compared with a year earlier, core orders, which exclude ships and power utilities, fell 3.3 percent in August, versus a 5.1 percent decline seen by economists, it showed.

The Japanese economy shrank an annualised 7.1 percent in the second quarter, the biggest contraction since early 2009, as the April tax hike dealt a heavy blow to consumer demand.

With exports and private consumption both lacking momentum, policymakers hope firms capitalise on higher profits to boost investment and raise wages to generate a virtuous economic cycle and sustain growth in the broader economy.

The Bank of Japan's key tankan corporate survey showed last week that big firms expect to raise capital expenditure by a more-than-expected 8.6 percent in the current fiscal year to March.

The BOJ on Tuesday stuck to its monetary stimulus and view that the economy is continuing to recover moderately, while noting weakness in factory output, as firms are saddled with inventories of unsold cars and electronics.

(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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First Published: Oct 09 2014 | 5:57 AM IST

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