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Nikkei crumbles, US treasury yields down on economic gloom

Heightened concerns about global growth send Nikkei down 2.2% to a 4-1/2-month low

Reuters Tokyo
Last Updated : Oct 16 2014 | 8:37 AM IST

Asia extended a selloff in global equities on Thursday, as heightened concerns about world economic growth sent Japanese stocks tumbling and US Treasury yields down.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan extended early losses and was down 0.6% while Japan's Nikkei stock average tumbled 2.2% and touched a 4-1/2-month low.

"It's clear that people are avoiding risks," said Takatoshi Itoshima, chief portfolio manager at Commons Asset Management. "People started to doubt that the Japanese market may not be able to keep rising only on the recovering US economy."

But S&P 500 e-mini futures edged up 0.2%, which might portend a more stable day ahead on Wall Street as investors await more US data.

September industrial output and weekly jobless claims will be released later on Thursday and could paint a brighter picture than downbeat figures released on Wednesday, which came after a recent spate of weak figures from China and Europe raised fears about the health of the global economy.

The S&P 500 briefly turned negative for the year on Wednesday, while European equities shed 3.2% to mark their biggest one-day slide in almost four years.

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US data released on Wednesday showed US retail sales and producer prices both dropped last month, a worrisome economic signal that helped fuel a sell-off on Wall Street as it quashed expectations the US Federal Reserve would hike US interest rates sooner rather than later.

The New York Fed's Empire State general business conditions index also plunged to 6.17 in October from September's 27.54, marking the weakest pace of manufacturing activity in New York state since April.

"Investor risk preference appeared to vanish overnight with large-scale loss-cutting worldwide. In the absence of market depth, wild prices fluctuations could continue for some time with volatility itself having a further negative influence on risk assets," strategists at Barclays wrote in a note to clients.

The grim mood sparked a safe-haven rally in US Treasuries and pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year note as low as 1.865%, its deepest nadir since May 2013. It last stood at 2.107% in Asian trade.

The rally carried over to the Japanese government bond market, where the yield on the 10-year JGB fell to a 1 1/2-year low of 0.470%.

Only a month ago, fed funds futures had suggested traders priced in almost a 50% chance of a Fed rate increase as early as June 2015. But a jump in short-term US interest rates futures on Wednesday implied traders anticipate the US central bank would not move away from its near zero rate stance until the end of the first quarter in 2016.

The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies stood at 84.850, down about 0.4% on the day and wallowing at levels last plumbed in September. Speculation of higher US interest rates had pushed the index to a four-year high of 86.746 earlier this month.

Against the yen, the dollar steaded at 106.04 yen, after dropping to a more than one-month low around 105.20 on Wednesday, while the euro was slightly down on the day at $1.2830 after rising as high as $1.2845, its highest level since Sept. 24.

Spot gold added 0.2% to $1,243 an ounce after marking a one-month high of $1,249.30 on Wednesday.

London copper edged up by 0.2% to $6,654.25 a tonne after shedding 2.3% in the previous session, its biggest daily drop since March.

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First Published: Oct 16 2014 | 8:11 AM IST

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