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Oil down; market looks beyond Paris attacks to refocus on glut

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Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Nov 17 2015 | 11:07 PM IST

By Barani Krishnan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude oil futures fell about 1 percent on Tuesday, resuming their slide after a one-day pause, as oversupply concerns returned to suppress a market briefly lifted by geopolitical worries linked to the Paris attacks.

A Reuters poll of analysts forecast that U.S. crude stockpiles rose for an eight straight week last week, building by 1.6 million barrels to reach near-record highs above 490 million seen in April.

Industry group American Petroleum Institute will issue its own preliminary report on the stockpile situation at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT), two hours after market settlement.

Official inventory data from the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration is due on Wednesday.

Brent crude futures were down 77 cents at $43.79 a barrel by 11:15 a.m. EST (1615 GMT). In August, Brent hit a low of $42.23, which marked a 6-1/2-year bottom.

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U.S. crude futures slipped by 72 cents to $41.02 a barrel. They had fallen to a March 2009 low of $37.75 in August.

Brent's premium over U.S. crude was at below $2 a barrel, versus the near $4 seen at the start of November.

A narrower spread between the two tends to encourage a greater flow of oil from abroad into the U.S. market, as crude grades pegged to the pricier Brent become more affordable.

On Monday, crude prices had gained more than 2 percent on security fears related to Friday's attacks in Paris, and France's heavy bombing of Islamic State targets in Syria in the aftermath. But as calm returned to world markets on Tuesday, traders and investors focused again on the oversupply in oil.

"Yesterday's rally was a reaction to the likely increase in geopolitical risk despite the fact Syria itself is not big oil producer," said Pete Donovan, broker at New York's Liquidity Energy. "But as emphasis returns to the oversupply in oil, the market is giving back those gains."

U.S. crude futures have been under $50 longer now than they were during the height of the financial crisis in late 2008/2009. The market's forward curve also shows less price increases today than it did then.

Options on U.S. crude expire later on Tuesday, with open interest mostly gathered around put options, which give the seller the right, but not the obligation, to sell U.S. futures at both $40 and $45 a barrel.

(Additional reporting by Amanda Cooper in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Keith Weir and Meredith Mazzilli)

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First Published: Nov 17 2015 | 10:51 PM IST

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