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Oil jumps over 4 pct on large U.S. drawdown, Fed speculation

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Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Sep 16 2015 | 11:42 PM IST

By Barani Krishnan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global crude prices jumped more than 4 percent on Wednesday, after the largest crude drawdown in 7 months at the key U.S. crude delivery point in Cushing, Oklahoma, fed a new round of market volatility.

Oil bulls were also encouraged by doubts on whether the Federal Reserve will decide on a U.S. rate hike on Thursday after tame August inflation data.

Some speculators in oil had bet on a big U.S. draw since Monday, after market intelligence firm Genscape estimated a drawdown of 1.8 million barrels in Cushing.

Official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed a total U.S. inventory drop of 2.1 million barrels for the week ended Sept. 11. The Cushing draw itself was 1.9 million, the largest since the week ended Aug. 28.

The draw numbers were bullish beyond average analysts' forecasts. A Reuters poll called for a total stockpile growth of 1.2 million barrels last week.

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Even so, the EIA also cited an unexpected build of about 3 million barrels in gasoline and distillate stocks.

"The gasoline and distillates build completely negate the crude draw," said Donald Morton, energy trader for Herbert J. Sims & Co. in Fairfield, Connecticut.

"A total stockpile of 153 million barrels for distillates is huge. It's the Fed's show from here on," Morton added, referring to the impending decision on the rate hike.

A lower U.S. interest rate could restrain the dollar, making dollar-denominated crude cheaper for holders of other currencies. The dollar retreated from a one-week high after an unexpected 0.1 percent decline in U.S. consumer prices in August. U.S. crude was up $2.45, or 5.5 percent, at $47.04 by 12:20 p.m. EDT (1620 GMT).

Global oil benchmark Brent rose $2.05, or 4.3 percent, to $49.80.

Oil has seen big price swings since end-August on mixed supply-demand outlook from the EIA, the International Energy Agency and producer group OPEC. A sharp cut in forward oil price projections by influential Wall Street trader Goldman Sachs added to volatility.

Some analysts expect an erratic but continuous recovery from the 6-1/2 year lows of $42.23 hit in Brent and $37.75 in U.S. crude in August.

"If the market continues to get data points similar to this week, which the markets have been anticipating for a while now, oil prices will continue to firm up and find support," said Chris Jarvis at Caprock Risk Management in Frederick, Maryland.

(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Dale Hudson and Jason Neely)

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First Published: Sep 16 2015 | 11:25 PM IST

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