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Oil prices bounce after Opec reaffirms plan to cut output

Secretary-General of the Opec assures on the group's commitment to a deal made in Algiers to cut output

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Reuters Singapore
Last Updated : Nov 07 2016 | 5:41 PM IST
Oil prices rose by over 1 per cent on Monday, pushed up by a statement from the producers' club Opec that it was committed to a deal made in September to cut output in order to prop up the market.

Brent crude was at $46.12 per barrel at 07:46 GMT, up 54 cents, or 1.18 per cent, from their previous close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 61 cents, or 1.38 per cent, at $44.68 a barrel.

The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) said on Monday the group was committed to a deal made in Algiers to cut output.

"We as OPEC remain committed to the Algiers accord that we ... put together. All the Opec 14 we remain committed to the implementation," Mohammed Barkindo told reporters at a conference in Abu Dhabi.

Despite this, many analysts doubt that the Opec's ability to coordinate a cut.

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"Skepticism about the ability for the Opec to execute on its Algiers agreement is warranted ... (but) the Opec can still spook markets with its rhetoric," Morgan Stanley said.

"If prices continue to slip, the chances for the bullish Opec headlines grow, which could lift prices briefly even if there is no follow through," the US bank added.

Barclays bank said there was little to no agreement among producers about who would cut how much.

"Individual country details still remain challenging to agree upon," Barclays bank said.

"Iraq boosted production while Saudi Arabia asked for exceptions. Russia is still sitting on the sidelines, and none of the non-Opec members consulted thus far has expressed any intention of a cut," it said.

Monday's price rises come after steep falls last week when by Friday Brent fell as low as $45.08, its weakest since August 11. WTI hit $43.57 on Friday, its lowest since September 20.

Last week's losses were the steepest since January and took nearly 15 percent off a one-year high hit in the first half of October.

There are also risks that the oil glut, which has dogged markets for over two years, could continue as the Opec's de facto leader Saudi Arabia threatened to increase production should the upcoming meeting between lead to no result.

Even if Saudi Arabia does not follow through on that threat, its exports could rise.

"Saudi local oil demand is falling, and just maintaining current output could imply higher exports," Barclays said.

There were also signs of rising the future US output as the number of drilling rigs looking for new oil to produce rose by 9 to 450 in the week to November 4, the highest level since February.

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First Published: Nov 07 2016 | 5:41 PM IST

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