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Oil prices plunge 5% as Britain votes to leave EU

Brent crude settled down 4.9% or $2.50 at $48.41 a barrel

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A worker walks past a pump jack on an oil field in Russia <b> Reuters <b>
Reuters New York/London
Last Updated : Jun 25 2016 | 10:25 AM IST

Oil prices settled 5% lower on Friday after Britain's vote to leave the European Union (EU) spurred massive risk aversion and a rally in safe havens like the US dollar that threatened to cut short a three-month-long recovery in global oil markets.

Financial markets have been worried for months about what a British exit from the EU, dubbed widely as 'Brexit,' would mean for Europe's future, but were clearly not fully factoring in the risk of a 'leave' vote.

The dollar index jumped about 2%, its most since 2008, while sterling collapsed to a 31-year low after British Prime Minister David Cameron, who campaigned to remain in the EU, said he would stand down by October.

A rallying dollar makes oil and other commodities denominated in the greenback costlier for holders of the euro and other currencies.

Brent crude settled down 4.9%, or $2.50, at $48.41 a barrel. It had fallen 6% earlier to $47.54.

US crude fell 5%, or $2.47, to settle at $47.64, its largest one-day decline since February.

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The losses were much smaller on the week, with Brent down 1.5% and US crude 0.7%.

Analysts in oil markets sought to put the Brexit crisis in perspective even as some $2 trillion was wiped off equity bourses worldwide, and money poured into safe-haven gold and government bonds.

"This is an historic event and will not be swept under the rug very quickly," said Dominick Chirichella, senior partner at the Energy Management Institute in New York.

"That said, markets will not remain in turmoil as they are at the moment for an extended period of time. There is no indication that the global financial markets are anywhere near a meltdown as we saw in 2008. The UK will not collapse and the EU will not collapse anytime soon."

Despite the retreat, oil prices held above last week's one-month lows when fears of a British exit from the EU spiked and Brent hit a trough of $46.94 while US crude tumbled to $45.83.

Some analysts said oil could face further pressure.

"Our view is that we have not yet seen the low oil price of the day with Brent likely to trade down towards $45 or lower before we have seen the worst of it," said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodity analyst at Nordic bank SEB.

Investors paid little heed to data on Friday showing the US oil rig count fell by seven this week, the first weekly reduction in four weeks.

"Higher risk aversion is likely to make it hard for prices to regain the $50 per barrel mark in anything like the near future," said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Frankfurt's Commerzbank.

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First Published: Jun 25 2016 | 9:45 AM IST

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